The June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District remains tightly contested between state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with recent polls showing single-digit margins or near-ties and roughly one-fifth of likely voters undecided. A June 9 debate underscored differences in legislative experience and district focus, while an AARP survey of older voters— a key bloc—found Lasher ahead but left ample room for movement. Jack Schlossberg’s name recognition has yet to translate into broader support. High undecided shares and last-weekend mobilization on both sides of Manhattan sustain tight margin probabilities across outcomes, with any surge in turnout or late endorsements likely to determine whether the winner prevails by under 5 points or widens the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lasher 少於5% 49%
Bores 少於 5% 49%
Lasher 10–15% 41%
Bores 5% 以上 40%
最新
最新
2026-06-24
Lasher 超過 15%
39%
Lasher 10–15%
41%
Lasher 5–10%
38%
Lasher 少於5%
49%
Bores 5% 以上
40%
Bores 少於 5%
49%
施洛斯伯格獲勝
30%
Lasher 少於5% 49%
Bores 少於 5% 49%
Lasher 10–15% 41%
Bores 5% 以上 40%
最新
最新
2026-06-24
Lasher 超過 15%
$0 交易量
39%
Lasher 10–15%
$0 交易量
41%
Lasher 5–10%
$0 交易量
38%
Lasher 少於5%
$0 交易量
49%
Bores 5% 以上
$0 交易量
40%
Bores 少於 5%
$0 交易量
49%
施洛斯伯格獲勝
$0 交易量
30%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District remains tightly contested between state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with recent polls showing single-digit margins or near-ties and roughly one-fifth of likely voters undecided. A June 9 debate underscored differences in legislative experience and district focus, while an AARP survey of older voters— a key bloc—found Lasher ahead but left ample room for movement. Jack Schlossberg’s name recognition has yet to translate into broader support. High undecided shares and last-weekend mobilization on both sides of Manhattan sustain tight margin probabilities across outcomes, with any surge in turnout or late endorsements likely to determine whether the winner prevails by under 5 points or widens the gap.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-06-24市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District remains tightly contested between state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with recent polls showing single-digit margins or near-ties and roughly one-fifth of likely voters undecided. A June 9 debate underscored differences in legislative experience and district focus, while an AARP survey of older voters— a key bloc—found Lasher ahead but left ample room for movement. Jack Schlossberg’s name recognition has yet to translate into broader support. High undecided shares and last-weekend mobilization on both sides of Manhattan sustain tight margin probabilities across outcomes, with any surge in turnout or late endorsements likely to determine whether the winner prevails by under 5 points or widens the gap.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-06-24市場開放時間
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 12th Congressional District remains tightly contested between state Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, with recent polls showing single-digit margins or near-ties and roughly one-fifth of likely voters undecided. A June 9 debate underscored differences in legislative experience and district focus, while an AARP survey of older voters— a key bloc—found Lasher ahead but left ample room for movement. Jack Schlossberg’s name recognition has yet to translate into broader support. High undecided shares and last-weekend mobilization on both sides of Manhattan sustain tight margin probabilities across outcomes, with any surge in turnout or late endorsements likely to determine whether the winner prevails by under 5 points or widens the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions