Zohran Mamdani’s rap catalog as Young Cardamom and Mr. Cardamom largely dates to the mid-2010s, including a 2016 EP and the track “#1 Spice” from the Queen of Katwe soundtrack, with no verified new original releases since. As New York City mayor since early 2026, his schedule centers on governance, leaving little room for music industry campaigns or studio time. A 2025 rumor of a fresh verse was quickly debunked by his team, reinforcing trader views that his artistic chapter has closed. The 71.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects this clear pivot and the absence of any announced comeback or promotional activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
10% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
10% 機率
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). Zohran Mamdani’s rap catalog as Young Cardamom and Mr. Cardamom largely dates to the mid-2010s, including a 2016 EP and the track “#1 Spice” from the Queen of Katwe soundtrack, with no verified new original releases since. As New York City mayor since early 2026, his schedule centers on governance, leaving little room for music industry campaigns or studio time. A 2025 rumor of a fresh verse was quickly debunked by his team, reinforcing trader views that his artistic chapter has closed. The 71.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects this clear pivot and the absence of any announced comeback or promotional activity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
市場開放時間: Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ET
交易量
$116結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube). Zohran Mamdani’s rap catalog as Young Cardamom and Mr. Cardamom largely dates to the mid-2010s, including a 2016 EP and the track “#1 Spice” from the Queen of Katwe soundtrack, with no verified new original releases since. As New York City mayor since early 2026, his schedule centers on governance, leaving little room for music industry campaigns or studio time. A 2025 rumor of a fresh verse was quickly debunked by his team, reinforcing trader views that his artistic chapter has closed. The 71.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects this clear pivot and the absence of any announced comeback or promotional activity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani officially releases a new song between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances or leaks) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, remixes, or alternate versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, WILL count. Songs released under other aliases such as "Young Cardamom" or "Mr. Cardamom" will qualify.
If a song is released jointly by Zohran Mamdani and other artists, it will count.
A music video released on any streaming or download site will qualify, so long as Zohran Mamdani performs.
The resolution source will be any streaming or download site (e.g. Apple Music, Spotify, YouTube).
交易量
$116結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 5:29 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Zohran Mamdani’s rap catalog as Young Cardamom and Mr. Cardamom largely dates to the mid-2010s, including a 2016 EP and the track “#1 Spice” from the Queen of Katwe soundtrack, with no verified new original releases since. As New York City mayor since early 2026, his schedule centers on governance, leaving little room for music industry campaigns or studio time. A 2025 rumor of a fresh verse was quickly debunked by his team, reinforcing trader views that his artistic chapter has closed. The 71.5% market-implied probability for “No” reflects this clear pivot and the absence of any announced comeback or promotional activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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