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icon for Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？
選舉·紐約市市長

Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？

icon for Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？
選舉·紐約市市長

Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？

12月 31

12月 31

是

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$25,119 交易量

是

<1% 機率
Polymarket

$25,119 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The near-certain trader consensus that Zohran Mamdani will retain U.S. citizenship through 2026 stems from the demanding legal standards for denaturalization, which require federal prosecutors to prove in court that he willfully concealed or misrepresented material facts during his 2018 naturalization process. No such case has advanced beyond congressional calls for investigation, and legal experts note the absence of verifiable evidence meeting those thresholds despite partisan scrutiny tied to his Democratic Socialist affiliations and policy positions. Any potential shift would depend on the Department of Justice initiating and prevailing in a full civil or criminal proceeding before the deadline, an outcome constrained by established precedents, evidentiary burdens, and typical timelines for such matters.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$25,119
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The near-certain trader consensus that Zohran Mamdani will retain U.S. citizenship through 2026 stems from the demanding legal standards for denaturalization, which require federal prosecutors to prove in court that he willfully concealed or misrepresented material facts during his 2018 naturalization process. No such case has advanced beyond congressional calls for investigation, and legal experts note the absence of verifiable evidence meeting those thresholds despite partisan scrutiny tied to his Democratic Socialist affiliations and policy positions. Any potential shift would depend on the Department of Justice initiating and prevailing in a full civil or criminal proceeding before the deadline, an outcome constrained by established precedents, evidentiary burdens, and typical timelines for such matters.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$25,119
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 1:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani's U.S. citizenship is officially rescinded by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Zohran Mamdani 公民身份會在 2027 年前被撤銷嗎？" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？" has generated $25.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？" is "Zohran Mamdani 公民身份會在 2027 年前被撤銷嗎？" at just 1%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Zohran Mamdani的公民身份在2027年之前被撤銷？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.