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icon for Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?

Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?

icon for Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?

Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?

7% 機率
Polymarket
最新
7% 機率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York announces that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will pay reparations for slavery. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must come from Zohran Mamdani, the City of New York, or their authorized representatives, and must clearly and definitively state that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will issue direct payments designed to rectify or remedy the historical practice of enslaving African Americans in the United States, including programs addressing the legacy and after-effects of slavery where slavery or descent from enslaved persons is an express basis for the program. A qualifying announcement will be sufficient to resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether any payment is subsequently made, and regardless of whether the announcement is later withdrawn, modified, or revoked. The following do not constitute qualifying announcements: statements that New York City is considering, open to, or studying reparations; statements that reparations will be made only if a specified condition is met, such as the future passage of legislation; media reports unaccompanied by a qualifying official announcement; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements made by persons without authority to speak for Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York. Announcements of benefits related to modern human trafficking that are not related to the pre-Civil War institution of slavery in the United States will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Mamdani, New York City’s mayor since January 2026, has repeatedly stated he will not commit to cash reparations or similar measures before receiving recommendations from the city’s Commission on Racial Equity.** In late July 2026 interviews, he acknowledged the city’s historical role in slavery and signaled openness to the commission’s eventual findings while explicitly declining to endorse payouts in advance. The commission’s report is not expected until summer 2027, after the March 31, 2027 market cutoff. Mamdani’s administration has allocated modest funding ($500,000) for community discussions on racial equity and reparations-related topics, but these steps involve study and input rather than any policy announcement or implementation. No recent official statements, budget proposals, or executive actions indicate an intent to bypass the commission timeline or accelerate a reparations announcement. Traders therefore price the probability of an announcement by the deadline at roughly 7.5 percent, reflecting the mayor’s consistent procedural stance and the fixed schedule of the equity commission.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York announces that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will pay reparations for slavery. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must come from Zohran Mamdani, the City of New York, or their authorized representatives, and must clearly and definitively state that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will issue direct payments designed to rectify or remedy the historical practice of enslaving African Americans in the United States, including programs addressing the legacy and after-effects of slavery where slavery or descent from enslaved persons is an express basis for the program.

A qualifying announcement will be sufficient to resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether any payment is subsequently made, and regardless of whether the announcement is later withdrawn, modified, or revoked.

The following do not constitute qualifying announcements: statements that New York City is considering, open to, or studying reparations; statements that reparations will be made only if a specified condition is met, such as the future passage of legislation; media reports unaccompanied by a qualifying official announcement; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements made by persons without authority to speak for Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York.

Announcements of benefits related to modern human trafficking that are not related to the pre-Civil War institution of slavery in the United States will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$138
結束日期
2027-03-31
市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York announces that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will pay reparations for slavery. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must come from Zohran Mamdani, the City of New York, or their authorized representatives, and must clearly and definitively state that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will issue direct payments designed to rectify or remedy the historical practice of enslaving African Americans in the United States, including programs addressing the legacy and after-effects of slavery where slavery or descent from enslaved persons is an express basis for the program. A qualifying announcement will be sufficient to resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether any payment is subsequently made, and regardless of whether the announcement is later withdrawn, modified, or revoked. The following do not constitute qualifying announcements: statements that New York City is considering, open to, or studying reparations; statements that reparations will be made only if a specified condition is met, such as the future passage of legislation; media reports unaccompanied by a qualifying official announcement; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements made by persons without authority to speak for Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York. Announcements of benefits related to modern human trafficking that are not related to the pre-Civil War institution of slavery in the United States will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York announces that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will pay reparations for slavery. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must come from Zohran Mamdani, the City of New York, or their authorized representatives, and must clearly and definitively state that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will issue direct payments designed to rectify or remedy the historical practice of enslaving African Americans in the United States, including programs addressing the legacy and after-effects of slavery where slavery or descent from enslaved persons is an express basis for the program. A qualifying announcement will be sufficient to resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether any payment is subsequently made, and regardless of whether the announcement is later withdrawn, modified, or revoked. The following do not constitute qualifying announcements: statements that New York City is considering, open to, or studying reparations; statements that reparations will be made only if a specified condition is met, such as the future passage of legislation; media reports unaccompanied by a qualifying official announcement; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements made by persons without authority to speak for Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York. Announcements of benefits related to modern human trafficking that are not related to the pre-Civil War institution of slavery in the United States will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Mamdani, New York City’s mayor since January 2026, has repeatedly stated he will not commit to cash reparations or similar measures before receiving recommendations from the city’s Commission on Racial Equity.** In late July 2026 interviews, he acknowledged the city’s historical role in slavery and signaled openness to the commission’s eventual findings while explicitly declining to endorse payouts in advance. The commission’s report is not expected until summer 2027, after the March 31, 2027 market cutoff. Mamdani’s administration has allocated modest funding ($500,000) for community discussions on racial equity and reparations-related topics, but these steps involve study and input rather than any policy announcement or implementation. No recent official statements, budget proposals, or executive actions indicate an intent to bypass the commission timeline or accelerate a reparations announcement. Traders therefore price the probability of an announcement by the deadline at roughly 7.5 percent, reflecting the mayor’s consistent procedural stance and the fixed schedule of the equity commission.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York announces that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will pay reparations for slavery. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying announcement must come from Zohran Mamdani, the City of New York, or their authorized representatives, and must clearly and definitively state that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will issue direct payments designed to rectify or remedy the historical practice of enslaving African Americans in the United States, including programs addressing the legacy and after-effects of slavery where slavery or descent from enslaved persons is an express basis for the program.

A qualifying announcement will be sufficient to resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether any payment is subsequently made, and regardless of whether the announcement is later withdrawn, modified, or revoked.

The following do not constitute qualifying announcements: statements that New York City is considering, open to, or studying reparations; statements that reparations will be made only if a specified condition is met, such as the future passage of legislation; media reports unaccompanied by a qualifying official announcement; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements made by persons without authority to speak for Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York.

Announcements of benefits related to modern human trafficking that are not related to the pre-Civil War institution of slavery in the United States will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$138
結束日期
2027-03-31
市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York announces that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will pay reparations for slavery. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must come from Zohran Mamdani, the City of New York, or their authorized representatives, and must clearly and definitively state that the City of New York, or any subdivision thereof, will issue direct payments designed to rectify or remedy the historical practice of enslaving African Americans in the United States, including programs addressing the legacy and after-effects of slavery where slavery or descent from enslaved persons is an express basis for the program. A qualifying announcement will be sufficient to resolve this market "Yes" regardless of whether any payment is subsequently made, and regardless of whether the announcement is later withdrawn, modified, or revoked. The following do not constitute qualifying announcements: statements that New York City is considering, open to, or studying reparations; statements that reparations will be made only if a specified condition is met, such as the future passage of legislation; media reports unaccompanied by a qualifying official announcement; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements made by persons without authority to speak for Zohran Mamdani or the City of New York. Announcements of benefits related to modern human trafficking that are not related to the pre-Civil War institution of slavery in the United States will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani and the City of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 7% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 7¢, the market collectively assigns a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?" is 7% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.