Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The northern New Jersey seat, covering parts of Bergen and Sussex counties, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, and Gottheimer secured 54.6 percent in 2024. He faced no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Sean Kirrane has limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns and the incumbent's substantial campaign resources. A national Republican wave, late scandal, or unusually strong challenger performance could narrow the margin, though structural and resource advantages favor the Democratic nominee.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,302 交易量
$16,302 交易量
2026-11-04
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
9%
$16,302 交易量
$16,302 交易量
2026-11-04
Democratic Party
$14,001 交易量
91%
Republican Party
$2,301 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The northern New Jersey seat, covering parts of Bergen and Sussex counties, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, and Gottheimer secured 54.6 percent in 2024. He faced no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Sean Kirrane has limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns and the incumbent's substantial campaign resources. A national Republican wave, late scandal, or unusually strong challenger performance could narrow the margin, though structural and resource advantages favor the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
交易量
$16,302結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The northern New Jersey seat, covering parts of Bergen and Sussex counties, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, and Gottheimer secured 54.6 percent in 2024. He faced no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Sean Kirrane has limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns and the incumbent's substantial campaign resources. A national Republican wave, late scandal, or unusually strong challenger performance could narrow the margin, though structural and resource advantages favor the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,302結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Gottheimer holds a commanding position in New Jersey's 5th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The northern New Jersey seat, covering parts of Bergen and Sussex counties, carries a modest Democratic lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index, and Gottheimer secured 54.6 percent in 2024. He faced no primary opposition after the June 2026 contest, while Republican nominee Sean Kirrane has limited fundraising and visibility. Forecasters rate the race Solid D or Safe D, consistent with the district's recent voting patterns and the incumbent's substantial campaign resources. A national Republican wave, late scandal, or unusually strong challenger performance could narrow the margin, though structural and resource advantages favor the Democratic nominee.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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