Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$53,084 交易量
$53,084 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
97%
共和黨
3%
$53,084 交易量
$53,084 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$20,963 交易量
97%
共和黨
$32,120 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$53,084結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$53,084結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Gregory Meeks holds a commanding lead in the NY-05 House race due to the district's strong Democratic lean in southeast Queens, where he has represented the area since 1998 and secured over 70 percent in the prior cycle. Both major-party primaries were canceled after candidates advanced unopposed, leaving Meeks with substantial campaign funds and no significant primary threat. Prediction markets reflect trader consensus around these structural advantages, pricing the Republican nominee at minimal odds. A realistic shift would require late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or unanticipated redistricting changes before the November 2026 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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