Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts on September 1 with roughly 65% of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, producing a margin near 30 points that aligns with trader consensus on the 25–30% outcome. Final pre-primary polls from Emerson College, University of New Hampshire, and others showed Markey’s lead expanding from single digits earlier in the cycle to 25–35 points in late August, fueled by endorsements from Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez that reinforced his progressive record on issues like the Green New Deal. Moulton’s emphasis on generational turnover and age concerns failed to shift key Democratic voting blocs, including younger voters and women, leaving the incumbent’s structural advantages intact through election night. This polling trajectory and confirmed result have anchored market pricing on the narrowest band containing the actual margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於馬基 25–30% 100.0%
馬基40%+ <1%
馬基35–40% <1%
Markey 30–35% <1%
$17,986 交易量
$17,986 交易量
2026-09-01
馬基40%+
否
馬基35–40%
否
Markey 30–35%
否
馬基 25–30%
是
馬基 20–25%
否
馬基15-20%
否
馬基10–15%
否
馬基 5–10%
否
Markey 少於 5%
否
莫爾頓少於5%
否
莫爾頓贏5%以上
否
馬基 25–30% 100.0%
馬基40%+ <1%
馬基35–40% <1%
Markey 30–35% <1%
$17,986 交易量
$17,986 交易量
2026-09-01
馬基40%+
$1,517 交易量
否
馬基35–40%
$2,924 交易量
否
Markey 30–35%
$2,777 交易量
否
馬基 25–30%
$4,567 交易量
是
馬基 20–25%
$903 交易量
否
馬基15-20%
$1,847 交易量
否
馬基10–15%
$1,650 交易量
否
馬基 5–10%
$440 交易量
否
Markey 少於 5%
$405 交易量
否
莫爾頓少於5%
$448 交易量
否
莫爾頓贏5%以上
$508 交易量
否
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts on September 1 with roughly 65% of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, producing a margin near 30 points that aligns with trader consensus on the 25–30% outcome. Final pre-primary polls from Emerson College, University of New Hampshire, and others showed Markey’s lead expanding from single digits earlier in the cycle to 25–35 points in late August, fueled by endorsements from Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez that reinforced his progressive record on issues like the Green New Deal. Moulton’s emphasis on generational turnover and age concerns failed to shift key Democratic voting blocs, including younger voters and women, leaving the incumbent’s structural advantages intact through election night. This polling trajectory and confirmed result have anchored market pricing on the narrowest band containing the actual margin.
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
市場開放時間： Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$17,986結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts on September 1 with roughly 65% of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, producing a margin near 30 points that aligns with trader consensus on the 25–30% outcome. Final pre-primary polls from Emerson College, University of New Hampshire, and others showed Markey’s lead expanding from single digits earlier in the cycle to 25–35 points in late August, fueled by endorsements from Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez that reinforced his progressive record on issues like the Green New Deal. Moulton’s emphasis on generational turnover and age concerns failed to shift key Democratic voting blocs, including younger voters and women, leaving the incumbent’s structural advantages intact through election night. This polling trajectory and confirmed result have anchored market pricing on the narrowest band containing the actual margin.
The Massachusetts state primary is scheduled to be held on September 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Massachusetts Democratic Primary for U.S. Senator.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Commonwealth of Massachusetts, such as official statewide results published by the Massachusetts Secretary of the Commonwealth (https://www.sec.state.ma.us/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
交易量
$17,986結束日期
2026-09-01市場開放時間
Aug 20, 2026, 5:36 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts on September 1 with roughly 65% of the vote against Rep. Seth Moulton, producing a margin near 30 points that aligns with trader consensus on the 25–30% outcome. Final pre-primary polls from Emerson College, University of New Hampshire, and others showed Markey’s lead expanding from single digits earlier in the cycle to 25–35 points in late August, fueled by endorsements from Sen. Elizabeth Warren, Sen. Bernie Sanders, and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez that reinforced his progressive record on issues like the Green New Deal. Moulton’s emphasis on generational turnover and age concerns failed to shift key Democratic voting blocs, including younger voters and women, leaving the incumbent’s structural advantages intact through election night. This polling trajectory and confirmed result have anchored market pricing on the narrowest band containing the actual margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions