Incumbent Democrat John Garamendi advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 8th congressional district with roughly 54 percent of the vote against Republican Rudy Recile, setting up a November general election. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent voter patterns in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Garamendi's long tenure and primary margin highlight limited crossover appeal for the Republican challenger in this Bay Area and Central Valley region. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter outcomes before election day, though such factors have not emerged in the primary results or recent reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$31,774 交易量
$31,774 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
95%
共和黨
5%
$31,774 交易量
$31,774 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$13,033 交易量
95%
共和黨
$18,741 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Garamendi advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 8th congressional district with roughly 54 percent of the vote against Republican Rudy Recile, setting up a November general election. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent voter patterns in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Garamendi's long tenure and primary margin highlight limited crossover appeal for the Republican challenger in this Bay Area and Central Valley region. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter outcomes before election day, though such factors have not emerged in the primary results or recent reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$31,774結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat John Garamendi advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 8th congressional district with roughly 54 percent of the vote against Republican Rudy Recile, setting up a November general election. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent voter patterns in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Garamendi's long tenure and primary margin highlight limited crossover appeal for the Republican challenger in this Bay Area and Central Valley region. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter outcomes before election day, though such factors have not emerged in the primary results or recent reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$31,774結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Garamendi advanced from California's June 2026 top-two primary for the 8th congressional district with roughly 54 percent of the vote against Republican Rudy Recile, setting up a November general election. The district's strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 and consistent voter patterns in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Garamendi's long tenure and primary margin highlight limited crossover appeal for the Republican challenger in this Bay Area and Central Valley region. Late developments such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unexpected national political shifts could still alter outcomes before election day, though such factors have not emerged in the primary results or recent reporting.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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