Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu's bid for re-election in solidly Democratic California's 28th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Los Angeles-area seat features lopsided voter registration—roughly 45% Democratic to 23% Republican—and Chu's 2024 win by nearly 65%, underscoring longstanding partisan advantages reflected in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato; the top two will advance to November's general election. Absent polling or recent catalysts like scandals, the market prices minimal upset risk despite the GOP's nominal presence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$89,254 交易量
$89,254 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
90%
共和黨
11%
$89,254 交易量
$89,254 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$41,330 交易量
90%
共和黨
$47,923 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu's bid for re-election in solidly Democratic California's 28th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Los Angeles-area seat features lopsided voter registration—roughly 45% Democratic to 23% Republican—and Chu's 2024 win by nearly 65%, underscoring longstanding partisan advantages reflected in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato; the top two will advance to November's general election. Absent polling or recent catalysts like scandals, the market prices minimal upset risk despite the GOP's nominal presence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
交易量
$89,254結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu's bid for re-election in solidly Democratic California's 28th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Los Angeles-area seat features lopsided voter registration—roughly 45% Democratic to 23% Republican—and Chu's 2024 win by nearly 65%, underscoring longstanding partisan advantages reflected in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato; the top two will advance to November's general election. Absent polling or recent catalysts like scandals, the market prices minimal upset risk despite the GOP's nominal presence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$89,254結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Judy Chu's bid for re-election in solidly Democratic California's 28th Congressional District anchors trader consensus at heavy Democratic favoritism ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. The Los Angeles-area seat features lopsided voter registration—roughly 45% Democratic to 23% Republican—and Chu's 2024 win by nearly 65%, underscoring longstanding partisan advantages reflected in Safe/Solid Democratic ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others. Primary challengers include Democrat Peter Roybal and Republican April Verlato; the top two will advance to November's general election. Absent polling or recent catalysts like scandals, the market prices minimal upset risk despite the GOP's nominal presence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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