California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent maps and vacated by longtime incumbent Ami Bera, maintains a clear Democratic tilt that underpins the 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election winner. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select the top two candidates to advance to the November 3 ballot, with multiple Democrats already competing alongside independent former Representative Kevin Kiley. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns and historical performance in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican or independent victory would require an unusually large shift in turnout or candidate positioning that has not appeared in available polling. The primary outcome remains the most immediate variable that could still alter the general-election matchup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
92%
共和黨
8%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
民主黨
$6,528 交易量
92%
共和黨
$286 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent maps and vacated by longtime incumbent Ami Bera, maintains a clear Democratic tilt that underpins the 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election winner. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select the top two candidates to advance to the November 3 ballot, with multiple Democrats already competing alongside independent former Representative Kevin Kiley. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns and historical performance in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican or independent victory would require an unusually large shift in turnout or candidate positioning that has not appeared in available polling. The primary outcome remains the most immediate variable that could still alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$6,814結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent maps and vacated by longtime incumbent Ami Bera, maintains a clear Democratic tilt that underpins the 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election winner. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select the top two candidates to advance to the November 3 ballot, with multiple Democrats already competing alongside independent former Representative Kevin Kiley. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns and historical performance in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican or independent victory would require an unusually large shift in turnout or candidate positioning that has not appeared in available polling. The primary outcome remains the most immediate variable that could still alter the general-election matchup.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,814結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 6th congressional district, redrawn under recent maps and vacated by longtime incumbent Ami Bera, maintains a clear Democratic tilt that underpins the 91.5% trader consensus for a Democratic general-election winner. Nonpartisan primary voters on June 2 will select the top two candidates to advance to the November 3 ballot, with multiple Democrats already competing alongside independent former Representative Kevin Kiley. Race ratings from nonpartisan analysts classify the seat as Solid or Likely Democratic, reflecting voter registration patterns and historical performance in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican or independent victory would require an unusually large shift in turnout or candidate positioning that has not appeared in available polling. The primary outcome remains the most immediate variable that could still alter the general-election matchup.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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