Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index—among the nation's most Republican-leaning—and his unopposed status on the GOP side after no primary challengers qualified. Primaries were suspended following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling against Louisiana's congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, sending Higgins directly into the November 3 general alongside Democrats John Day, Tia LeBrun, Caleb Walker, and independent Matthew Courtney, whose divided field lacks national fundraising or endorsements. Recent Senate committee advancement of a new map on May 13 has sparked reactions but left LA-03's boundaries intact as a safe Republican hold. Upsets would require a scandal hitting Higgins, unfavorable redistricting redraw, or a Democratic national wave boosting turnout in this low-propensity district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$11,020 交易量
$11,020 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$11,020 交易量
$11,020 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$3,970 交易量
92%
Democratic Party
$7,050 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index—among the nation's most Republican-leaning—and his unopposed status on the GOP side after no primary challengers qualified. Primaries were suspended following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling against Louisiana's congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, sending Higgins directly into the November 3 general alongside Democrats John Day, Tia LeBrun, Caleb Walker, and independent Matthew Courtney, whose divided field lacks national fundraising or endorsements. Recent Senate committee advancement of a new map on May 13 has sparked reactions but left LA-03's boundaries intact as a safe Republican hold. Upsets would require a scandal hitting Higgins, unfavorable redistricting redraw, or a Democratic national wave boosting turnout in this low-propensity district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$11,020結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index—among the nation's most Republican-leaning—and his unopposed status on the GOP side after no primary challengers qualified. Primaries were suspended following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling against Louisiana's congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, sending Higgins directly into the November 3 general alongside Democrats John Day, Tia LeBrun, Caleb Walker, and independent Matthew Courtney, whose divided field lacks national fundraising or endorsements. Recent Senate committee advancement of a new map on May 13 has sparked reactions but left LA-03's boundaries intact as a safe Republican hold. Upsets would require a scandal hitting Higgins, unfavorable redistricting redraw, or a Democratic national wave boosting turnout in this low-propensity district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,020結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Clay Higgins dominates trader consensus at 91.5% implied probability to win Louisiana's 3rd Congressional District, reflecting the seat's R+22 Cook Partisan Voter Index—among the nation's most Republican-leaning—and his unopposed status on the GOP side after no primary challengers qualified. Primaries were suspended following the U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling against Louisiana's congressional map as an unconstitutional gerrymander, sending Higgins directly into the November 3 general alongside Democrats John Day, Tia LeBrun, Caleb Walker, and independent Matthew Courtney, whose divided field lacks national fundraising or endorsements. Recent Senate committee advancement of a new map on May 13 has sparked reactions but left LA-03's boundaries intact as a safe Republican hold. Upsets would require a scandal hitting Higgins, unfavorable redistricting redraw, or a Democratic national wave boosting turnout in this low-propensity district.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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