Republican-led redistricting in 2026 transformed Louisiana's 6th Congressional District into a majority-white, GOP-leaning seat around Baton Rouge, prompting incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields to decline re-election. Multiple forecasters now classify the open seat as solid or safe Republican, with several GOP candidates qualifying alongside a smaller Democratic field. This structural shift underpins the market's heavy Republican consensus, reflecting the wisdom of crowds pricing in the altered electoral math, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the new boundaries. Late developments such as a surprise candidate surge, unusually high Democratic turnout in the November primary, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before the December general election, though such paths appear narrow given current positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$65,492 交易量
$65,492 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
94%
民主黨
8%
$65,492 交易量
$65,492 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$36,074 交易量
94%
民主黨
$29,418 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican-led redistricting in 2026 transformed Louisiana's 6th Congressional District into a majority-white, GOP-leaning seat around Baton Rouge, prompting incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields to decline re-election. Multiple forecasters now classify the open seat as solid or safe Republican, with several GOP candidates qualifying alongside a smaller Democratic field. This structural shift underpins the market's heavy Republican consensus, reflecting the wisdom of crowds pricing in the altered electoral math, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the new boundaries. Late developments such as a surprise candidate surge, unusually high Democratic turnout in the November primary, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before the December general election, though such paths appear narrow given current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$65,492結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican-led redistricting in 2026 transformed Louisiana's 6th Congressional District into a majority-white, GOP-leaning seat around Baton Rouge, prompting incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields to decline re-election. Multiple forecasters now classify the open seat as solid or safe Republican, with several GOP candidates qualifying alongside a smaller Democratic field. This structural shift underpins the market's heavy Republican consensus, reflecting the wisdom of crowds pricing in the altered electoral math, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the new boundaries. Late developments such as a surprise candidate surge, unusually high Democratic turnout in the November primary, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before the December general election, though such paths appear narrow given current positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$65,492結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican-led redistricting in 2026 transformed Louisiana's 6th Congressional District into a majority-white, GOP-leaning seat around Baton Rouge, prompting incumbent Democrat Cleo Fields to decline re-election. Multiple forecasters now classify the open seat as solid or safe Republican, with several GOP candidates qualifying alongside a smaller Democratic field. This structural shift underpins the market's heavy Republican consensus, reflecting the wisdom of crowds pricing in the altered electoral math, historical voting patterns, and limited Democratic infrastructure in the new boundaries. Late developments such as a surprise candidate surge, unusually high Democratic turnout in the November primary, or major scandals could still alter outcomes before the December general election, though such paths appear narrow given current positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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