Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district, a reliably Republican area covering northwest Arkansas counties including Benton and Washington. Womack secured reelection in 2024 with 63.8 percent of the vote, and the 2026 Republican primary advanced without opposition after limited filings. The district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with Womack’s long tenure since 2011 and the absence of notable recent developments such as scandals or major polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment or localized surge for Ryerse that has not materialized in prior cycles. The general election is set for November 3, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,273 交易量
$17,273 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$17,273 交易量
$17,273 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican Party
$9,890 交易量
95%
Democratic Party
$7,383 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district, a reliably Republican area covering northwest Arkansas counties including Benton and Washington. Womack secured reelection in 2024 with 63.8 percent of the vote, and the 2026 Republican primary advanced without opposition after limited filings. The district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with Womack’s long tenure since 2011 and the absence of notable recent developments such as scandals or major polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment or localized surge for Ryerse that has not materialized in prior cycles. The general election is set for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$17,273結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district, a reliably Republican area covering northwest Arkansas counties including Benton and Washington. Womack secured reelection in 2024 with 63.8 percent of the vote, and the 2026 Republican primary advanced without opposition after limited filings. The district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with Womack’s long tenure since 2011 and the absence of notable recent developments such as scandals or major polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment or localized surge for Ryerse that has not materialized in prior cycles. The general election is set for November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,273結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Steve Womack faces Democrat Robb Ryerse in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district, a reliably Republican area covering northwest Arkansas counties including Benton and Washington. Womack secured reelection in 2024 with 63.8 percent of the vote, and the 2026 Republican primary advanced without opposition after limited filings. The district’s consistent partisan voting patterns, combined with Womack’s long tenure since 2011 and the absence of notable recent developments such as scandals or major polling shifts, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. A Democratic upset would require an unusually strong national environment or localized surge for Ryerse that has not materialized in prior cycles. The general election is set for November 3, 2026.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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