Republican incumbent Steve Womack holds a commanding lead in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, where traders assign his party an implied 91.5 percent chance of victory. The solidly Republican district, which Womack has represented since 2011, delivered him 64 percent of the vote in 2024, and his March 3 primary advanced without opposition. Democrat Robb Ryerse, the sole Democratic nominee after his primary was canceled, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising and the district’s consistent partisan lean. Minor-party candidates appear on the ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen local development could narrow the margin, though no such shifts have materialized in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
9%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$7,024 交易量
92%
Democratic Party
$765 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Steve Womack holds a commanding lead in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, where traders assign his party an implied 91.5 percent chance of victory. The solidly Republican district, which Womack has represented since 2011, delivered him 64 percent of the vote in 2024, and his March 3 primary advanced without opposition. Democrat Robb Ryerse, the sole Democratic nominee after his primary was canceled, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising and the district’s consistent partisan lean. Minor-party candidates appear on the ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen local development could narrow the margin, though no such shifts have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$7,788結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Steve Womack holds a commanding lead in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, where traders assign his party an implied 91.5 percent chance of victory. The solidly Republican district, which Womack has represented since 2011, delivered him 64 percent of the vote in 2024, and his March 3 primary advanced without opposition. Democrat Robb Ryerse, the sole Democratic nominee after his primary was canceled, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising and the district’s consistent partisan lean. Minor-party candidates appear on the ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen local development could narrow the margin, though no such shifts have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,788結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Steve Womack holds a commanding lead in Arkansas’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, where traders assign his party an implied 91.5 percent chance of victory. The solidly Republican district, which Womack has represented since 2011, delivered him 64 percent of the vote in 2024, and his March 3 primary advanced without opposition. Democrat Robb Ryerse, the sole Democratic nominee after his primary was canceled, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising and the district’s consistent partisan lean. Minor-party candidates appear on the ballot but are not expected to alter the outcome. A late national Democratic surge or unforeseen local development could narrow the margin, though no such shifts have materialized in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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