Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the IL-01 race due to the district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Jackson secured the nomination unopposed in the March primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell advanced from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the area's urban and suburban voter base on Chicago's South Side and surrounding counties. With the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals. Shifts remain possible from unexpected events such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$54,352 交易量
$54,352 交易量
民主黨
98%
共和黨
2%
$54,352 交易量
$54,352 交易量
民主黨
98%
共和黨
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding lead in the IL-01 race due to the district's D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Jackson secured the nomination unopposed in the March primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell advanced from a low-turnout contest. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the area's urban and suburban voter base on Chicago's South Side and surrounding counties. With the general election on November 3, trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals. Shifts remain possible from unexpected events such as candidate health issues, major scandals, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions