Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 25.5-point margin there in 2024 and Jackson’s prior strong performances. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without significant opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest to face him in November. The district’s partisan composition and incumbency advantage underpin the 98.2% implied probability for Democrats in current trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jackson, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$54,352 交易量
$54,352 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
98%
共和黨
2%
$54,352 交易量
$54,352 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$29,802 交易量
98%
共和黨
$24,550 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 25.5-point margin there in 2024 and Jackson’s prior strong performances. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without significant opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest to face him in November. The district’s partisan composition and incumbency advantage underpin the 98.2% implied probability for Democrats in current trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jackson, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$54,352結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 25.5-point margin there in 2024 and Jackson’s prior strong performances. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without significant opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest to face him in November. The district’s partisan composition and incumbency advantage underpin the 98.2% implied probability for Democrats in current trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jackson, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$54,352結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Jonathan Jackson holds a commanding position in the Illinois 1st congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in Kamala Harris’s 25.5-point margin there in 2024 and Jackson’s prior strong performances. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Jackson secured the Democratic nomination without significant opposition in the March 2026 primary, while Republican Christian Maxwell emerged from a low-turnout contest to face him in November. The district’s partisan composition and incumbency advantage underpin the 98.2% implied probability for Democrats in current trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting Jackson, or an unprecedented national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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