The Georgia 13th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 96.5% to win the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent David Scott’s death in April 2026 triggered a July special election in which two Democrats advanced to the August 25 runoff while Republicans were eliminated, underscoring the district’s partisan makeup in metro Atlanta counties. Historical results show Democratic candidates routinely exceeding 70% of the vote, limiting GOP challengers to roughly one-quarter to one-third of the electorate. With the Democratic primary winner already positioned for the general ballot, the only realistic paths to narrowing the margin involve an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment of unusual scale before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$35,199 交易量
$35,199 交易量
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
$35,199 交易量
$35,199 交易量
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
2%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Georgia 13th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, reflected in trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee at 96.5% to win the November 2026 general election. Longtime incumbent David Scott’s death in April 2026 triggered a July special election in which two Democrats advanced to the August 25 runoff while Republicans were eliminated, underscoring the district’s partisan makeup in metro Atlanta counties. Historical results show Democratic candidates routinely exceeding 70% of the vote, limiting GOP challengers to roughly one-quarter to one-third of the electorate. With the Democratic primary winner already positioned for the general ballot, the only realistic paths to narrowing the margin involve an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national political realignment of unusual scale before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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