Georgia’s 13th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, shaped by its composition of metro Atlanta suburbs with consistent high Democratic turnout in recent cycles. The April 2026 death of longtime incumbent David Scott opened the seat and triggered a special election set for July 28, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field that includes state legislators and local officials, yet this internal contest has not altered the general-election outlook. Republican candidates have filed with minimal visibility, fundraising, or polling traction, leaving no visible path to competitive performance. Traders reflect this structural reality in the current pricing, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points in the district. A late Republican surge or primary-related disarray on the Democratic side would represent the narrowest routes to any shift before the July resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$21,439 交易量
$21,439 交易量
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
$21,439 交易量
$21,439 交易量
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia’s 13th congressional district remains one of the most reliably Democratic seats in the country, shaped by its composition of metro Atlanta suburbs with consistent high Democratic turnout in recent cycles. The April 2026 death of longtime incumbent David Scott opened the seat and triggered a special election set for July 28, drawing a crowded Democratic primary field that includes state legislators and local officials, yet this internal contest has not altered the general-election outlook. Republican candidates have filed with minimal visibility, fundraising, or polling traction, leaving no visible path to competitive performance. Traders reflect this structural reality in the current pricing, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points in the district. A late Republican surge or primary-related disarray on the Democratic side would represent the narrowest routes to any shift before the July resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions