Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman’s strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81 percent. The R+8 partisan lean, confirmed by Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings of Solid and Safe Republican, reflects consistent performance in recent cycles, including Grothman’s 61 percent victory in 2024. Recent candidate filings ahead of the August 11 primaries show a fragmented Democratic field of eight entrants that has already seen withdrawals, diluting resources against Grothman’s $700,000 cash advantage. Minor independent and GOP primary challenges add limited pressure in this reliably Republican-leaning area east of the Fox River Valley. Traders price these structural factors heavily, with any shift likely requiring major national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,438 交易量
$17,438 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
18%
$17,438 交易量
$17,438 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$9,870 交易量
81%
Democratic Party
$7,567 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman’s strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81 percent. The R+8 partisan lean, confirmed by Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings of Solid and Safe Republican, reflects consistent performance in recent cycles, including Grothman’s 61 percent victory in 2024. Recent candidate filings ahead of the August 11 primaries show a fragmented Democratic field of eight entrants that has already seen withdrawals, diluting resources against Grothman’s $700,000 cash advantage. Minor independent and GOP primary challenges add limited pressure in this reliably Republican-leaning area east of the Fox River Valley. Traders price these structural factors heavily, with any shift likely requiring major national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$17,438結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman’s strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81 percent. The R+8 partisan lean, confirmed by Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings of Solid and Safe Republican, reflects consistent performance in recent cycles, including Grothman’s 61 percent victory in 2024. Recent candidate filings ahead of the August 11 primaries show a fragmented Democratic field of eight entrants that has already seen withdrawals, diluting resources against Grothman’s $700,000 cash advantage. Minor independent and GOP primary challenges add limited pressure in this reliably Republican-leaning area east of the Fox River Valley. Traders price these structural factors heavily, with any shift likely requiring major national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,438結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Glenn Grothman’s strong position in Wisconsin’s 6th Congressional District underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 81 percent. The R+8 partisan lean, confirmed by Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings of Solid and Safe Republican, reflects consistent performance in recent cycles, including Grothman’s 61 percent victory in 2024. Recent candidate filings ahead of the August 11 primaries show a fragmented Democratic field of eight entrants that has already seen withdrawals, diluting resources against Grothman’s $700,000 cash advantage. Minor independent and GOP primary challenges add limited pressure in this reliably Republican-leaning area east of the Fox River Valley. Traders price these structural factors heavily, with any shift likely requiring major national political realignment before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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