Valerie Foushee's incumbency and the North Carolina 4th District's consistent Democratic performance anchor the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary rematch against Nida Allam, while Republican Mahesh Ganorkar advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its urban and suburban composition centered on Durham County and prior election margins. With the November 3 general election approaching, limited campaign activity or polling shifts have emerged to alter positioning. A major scandal, significant national Republican surge, or unusually high turnout in conservative pockets could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$28,735 交易量
$28,735 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
6%
$28,735 交易量
$28,735 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$14,749 交易量
95%
共和黨
$13,986 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee's incumbency and the North Carolina 4th District's consistent Democratic performance anchor the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary rematch against Nida Allam, while Republican Mahesh Ganorkar advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its urban and suburban composition centered on Durham County and prior election margins. With the November 3 general election approaching, limited campaign activity or polling shifts have emerged to alter positioning. A major scandal, significant national Republican surge, or unusually high turnout in conservative pockets could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$28,735結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee's incumbency and the North Carolina 4th District's consistent Democratic performance anchor the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary rematch against Nida Allam, while Republican Mahesh Ganorkar advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its urban and suburban composition centered on Durham County and prior election margins. With the November 3 general election approaching, limited campaign activity or polling shifts have emerged to alter positioning. A major scandal, significant national Republican surge, or unusually high turnout in conservative pockets could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$28,735結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Valerie Foushee's incumbency and the North Carolina 4th District's consistent Democratic performance anchor the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary rematch against Nida Allam, while Republican Mahesh Ganorkar advanced without opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its urban and suburban composition centered on Durham County and prior election margins. With the November 3 general election approaching, limited campaign activity or polling shifts have emerged to alter positioning. A major scandal, significant national Republican surge, or unusually high turnout in conservative pockets could narrow the gap, though structural barriers make such outcomes unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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