Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic voting patterns in Chicago's northwest neighborhoods and surrounding suburbs. Primary results from March 2026 confirmed Ramirez's renomination without significant opposition while Republican Angel Oakley secured the opposing nomination, yet fundraising, endorsements, and historical margins continue to favor the Democratic hold. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats incorporates the district's partisan composition and limited competitive signals since the primaries. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national realignment within the election window could still shift outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$48,587 交易量
$48,587 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
96%
共和黨
2%
$48,587 交易量
$48,587 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$24,563 交易量
96%
共和黨
$24,024 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic voting patterns in Chicago's northwest neighborhoods and surrounding suburbs. Primary results from March 2026 confirmed Ramirez's renomination without significant opposition while Republican Angel Oakley secured the opposing nomination, yet fundraising, endorsements, and historical margins continue to favor the Democratic hold. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats incorporates the district's partisan composition and limited competitive signals since the primaries. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national realignment within the election window could still shift outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$48,587結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic voting patterns in Chicago's northwest neighborhoods and surrounding suburbs. Primary results from March 2026 confirmed Ramirez's renomination without significant opposition while Republican Angel Oakley secured the opposing nomination, yet fundraising, endorsements, and historical margins continue to favor the Democratic hold. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats incorporates the district's partisan composition and limited competitive signals since the primaries. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national realignment within the election window could still shift outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,587結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Delia Ramirez holds a commanding lead in the Illinois 3rd congressional district race, reflecting the area's consistent Democratic voting patterns in Chicago's northwest neighborhoods and surrounding suburbs. Primary results from March 2026 confirmed Ramirez's renomination without significant opposition while Republican Angel Oakley secured the opposing nomination, yet fundraising, endorsements, and historical margins continue to favor the Democratic hold. Trader consensus at 95.5% for Democrats incorporates the district's partisan composition and limited competitive signals since the primaries. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or unforeseen national realignment within the election window could still shift outcomes, though such factors remain low-probability based on current conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions