Incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in New York's 9th congressional district. The Brooklyn-based seat has long favored Democratic candidates, with Clarke holding the office since 2007 and drawing consistent support from the district's voter base. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns for this district and similar safe seats, where incumbency and partisan composition typically determine outcomes. Shifts could occur only with major unforeseen developments such as a national political realignment, significant late-cycle polling movement, or candidate-specific issues emerging before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$48,584 交易量
$48,584 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
96%
共和黨
5%
$48,584 交易量
$48,584 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$19,322 交易量
96%
共和黨
$29,263 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in New York's 9th congressional district. The Brooklyn-based seat has long favored Democratic candidates, with Clarke holding the office since 2007 and drawing consistent support from the district's voter base. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns for this district and similar safe seats, where incumbency and partisan composition typically determine outcomes. Shifts could occur only with major unforeseen developments such as a national political realignment, significant late-cycle polling movement, or candidate-specific issues emerging before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
交易量
$48,584結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in New York's 9th congressional district. The Brooklyn-based seat has long favored Democratic candidates, with Clarke holding the office since 2007 and drawing consistent support from the district's voter base. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns for this district and similar safe seats, where incumbency and partisan composition typically determine outcomes. Shifts could occur only with major unforeseen developments such as a national political realignment, significant late-cycle polling movement, or candidate-specific issues emerging before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$48,584結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Yvette Clarke secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the heavy favorite in New York's 9th congressional district. The Brooklyn-based seat has long favored Democratic candidates, with Clarke holding the office since 2007 and drawing consistent support from the district's voter base. Her Republican opponent, Joel Anabilah-Azumah, faces structural headwinds in a constituency that has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical patterns for this district and similar safe seats, where incumbency and partisan composition typically determine outcomes. Shifts could occur only with major unforeseen developments such as a national political realignment, significant late-cycle polling movement, or candidate-specific issues emerging before Election Day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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