Florida's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterm cycle, with traders assigning the party an 83.5 percent probability of holding the open House seat. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting patterns since 2016, underpins the current pricing, even after longtime incumbent Neal Dunn's retirement opened the race. Multiple Republican candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented across four primary entrants. Fundraising reports show substantial early investment favoring GOP contenders. No recent polling or candidate developments have altered the structural fundamentals, leaving the November 3 general election outcome heavily tilted toward Republican retention absent a major late-cycle shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
84%
民主黨
17%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
$4,278 交易量
84%
民主黨
$2,632 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterm cycle, with traders assigning the party an 83.5 percent probability of holding the open House seat. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting patterns since 2016, underpins the current pricing, even after longtime incumbent Neal Dunn's retirement opened the race. Multiple Republican candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented across four primary entrants. Fundraising reports show substantial early investment favoring GOP contenders. No recent polling or candidate developments have altered the structural fundamentals, leaving the November 3 general election outcome heavily tilted toward Republican retention absent a major late-cycle shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$6,910結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterm cycle, with traders assigning the party an 83.5 percent probability of holding the open House seat. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting patterns since 2016, underpins the current pricing, even after longtime incumbent Neal Dunn's retirement opened the race. Multiple Republican candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented across four primary entrants. Fundraising reports show substantial early investment favoring GOP contenders. No recent polling or candidate developments have altered the structural fundamentals, leaving the November 3 general election outcome heavily tilted toward Republican retention absent a major late-cycle shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$6,910結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2nd Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 midterm cycle, with traders assigning the party an 83.5 percent probability of holding the open House seat. The district's consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and voting patterns since 2016, underpins the current pricing, even after longtime incumbent Neal Dunn's retirement opened the race. Multiple Republican candidates have filed ahead of the August 18 primary, while the Democratic field remains fragmented across four primary entrants. Fundraising reports show substantial early investment favoring GOP contenders. No recent polling or candidate developments have altered the structural fundamentals, leaving the November 3 general election outcome heavily tilted toward Republican retention absent a major late-cycle shift.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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