Florida's 2nd congressional district is rated Solid or Likely Republican by multiple forecasters due to its R+8 partisan voter index and the state's overall Republican tilt in recent cycles. Incumbent Neal Dunn announced his retirement in January 2026, creating an open seat, but the Republican primary on August 18 features well-funded candidates such as Keith Gross and Austin Rogers, with recent internal polls showing a competitive but contained field. Democrats face significantly lower fundraising and limited name recognition heading into their simultaneous primary, while historical results show the district delivering consistent Republican margins above 60 percent in the prior general election. These structural and resource factors underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican general-election outcome in November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,030 交易量
$12,030 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
88%
民主黨
13%
$12,030 交易量
$12,030 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$7,937 交易量
88%
民主黨
$4,093 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd congressional district is rated Solid or Likely Republican by multiple forecasters due to its R+8 partisan voter index and the state's overall Republican tilt in recent cycles. Incumbent Neal Dunn announced his retirement in January 2026, creating an open seat, but the Republican primary on August 18 features well-funded candidates such as Keith Gross and Austin Rogers, with recent internal polls showing a competitive but contained field. Democrats face significantly lower fundraising and limited name recognition heading into their simultaneous primary, while historical results show the district delivering consistent Republican margins above 60 percent in the prior general election. These structural and resource factors underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican general-election outcome in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$12,030結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 2nd congressional district is rated Solid or Likely Republican by multiple forecasters due to its R+8 partisan voter index and the state's overall Republican tilt in recent cycles. Incumbent Neal Dunn announced his retirement in January 2026, creating an open seat, but the Republican primary on August 18 features well-funded candidates such as Keith Gross and Austin Rogers, with recent internal polls showing a competitive but contained field. Democrats face significantly lower fundraising and limited name recognition heading into their simultaneous primary, while historical results show the district delivering consistent Republican margins above 60 percent in the prior general election. These structural and resource factors underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican general-election outcome in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,030結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 2nd congressional district is rated Solid or Likely Republican by multiple forecasters due to its R+8 partisan voter index and the state's overall Republican tilt in recent cycles. Incumbent Neal Dunn announced his retirement in January 2026, creating an open seat, but the Republican primary on August 18 features well-funded candidates such as Keith Gross and Austin Rogers, with recent internal polls showing a competitive but contained field. Democrats face significantly lower fundraising and limited name recognition heading into their simultaneous primary, while historical results show the district delivering consistent Republican margins above 60 percent in the prior general election. These structural and resource factors underpin trader consensus around a strong Republican general-election outcome in November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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