Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Kat Cammack advances through the August 18 Republican primary with minimal opposition and substantial fundraising advantages, including over $840,000 cash on hand. Recent mid-decade redistricting left the district's boundaries largely intact, removing potential volatility and reinforcing its safe status ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Seth Harp and Tom Wells, operate with limited resources and face structural barriers in a district that delivered a 61-point Republican margin in 2024. Absent a significant national shift or late primary surprise, trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$11,417 交易量
$11,417 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
11%
$11,417 交易量
$11,417 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$7,096 交易量
88%
Democratic Party
$4,321 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Kat Cammack advances through the August 18 Republican primary with minimal opposition and substantial fundraising advantages, including over $840,000 cash on hand. Recent mid-decade redistricting left the district's boundaries largely intact, removing potential volatility and reinforcing its safe status ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Seth Harp and Tom Wells, operate with limited resources and face structural barriers in a district that delivered a 61-point Republican margin in 2024. Absent a significant national shift or late primary surprise, trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$11,417結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Kat Cammack advances through the August 18 Republican primary with minimal opposition and substantial fundraising advantages, including over $840,000 cash on hand. Recent mid-decade redistricting left the district's boundaries largely intact, removing potential volatility and reinforcing its safe status ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Seth Harp and Tom Wells, operate with limited resources and face structural barriers in a district that delivered a 61-point Republican margin in 2024. Absent a significant national shift or late primary surprise, trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$11,417結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 3rd congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Kat Cammack advances through the August 18 Republican primary with minimal opposition and substantial fundraising advantages, including over $840,000 cash on hand. Recent mid-decade redistricting left the district's boundaries largely intact, removing potential volatility and reinforcing its safe status ahead of the November 3 general election. Multiple Democratic primary contenders, including Seth Harp and Tom Wells, operate with limited resources and face structural barriers in a district that delivered a 61-point Republican margin in 2024. Absent a significant national shift or late primary surprise, trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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