Republican incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race due to the seat’s deep partisan tilt and his established position. The district, covering rural and suburban areas in northeastern Pennsylvania, delivered a 38-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024 and carries a strong Republican lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Meuser, first elected in 2019, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the November 3 general election after both cleared their respective May primaries without notable opposition. Trader consensus at 96.7% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the baseline. Late-campaign factors such as a significant national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$21,279 交易量
$21,279 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
97%
民主黨
3%
$21,279 交易量
$21,279 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$13,578 交易量
97%
民主黨
$7,702 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race due to the seat’s deep partisan tilt and his established position. The district, covering rural and suburban areas in northeastern Pennsylvania, delivered a 38-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024 and carries a strong Republican lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Meuser, first elected in 2019, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the November 3 general election after both cleared their respective May primaries without notable opposition. Trader consensus at 96.7% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the baseline. Late-campaign factors such as a significant national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$21,279結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race due to the seat’s deep partisan tilt and his established position. The district, covering rural and suburban areas in northeastern Pennsylvania, delivered a 38-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024 and carries a strong Republican lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Meuser, first elected in 2019, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the November 3 general election after both cleared their respective May primaries without notable opposition. Trader consensus at 96.7% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the baseline. Late-campaign factors such as a significant national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,279結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Dan Meuser holds a commanding lead in the 2026 Pennsylvania 9th congressional district race due to the seat’s deep partisan tilt and his established position. The district, covering rural and suburban areas in northeastern Pennsylvania, delivered a 38-point margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024 and carries a strong Republican lean reflected in nonpartisan ratings labeling it Solid Republican. Meuser, first elected in 2019, faces Democrat Rachel Wallace in the November 3 general election after both cleared their respective May primaries without notable opposition. Trader consensus at 96.7% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural advantages and the absence of recent polling shifts or major developments that would alter the baseline. Late-campaign factors such as a significant national partisan swing, unexpected candidate withdrawal, or unforeseen scandal could still narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly lopsided districts suggest limited realistic pathways for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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