The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Dan Meuser is seeking another term with broad party support ahead of the May 19 primary, while the Democratic primary features limited challengers and fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. Traders price in low odds of an upset because the district’s northeast Pennsylvania electorate has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. A national political wave, major scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current fundamentals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,622 交易量
$16,622 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
93%
民主黨
5%
$16,622 交易量
$16,622 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$9,183 交易量
93%
民主黨
$7,440 交易量
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Dan Meuser is seeking another term with broad party support ahead of the May 19 primary, while the Democratic primary features limited challengers and fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. Traders price in low odds of an upset because the district’s northeast Pennsylvania electorate has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. A national political wave, major scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$16,622結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Dan Meuser is seeking another term with broad party support ahead of the May 19 primary, while the Democratic primary features limited challengers and fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. Traders price in low odds of an upset because the district’s northeast Pennsylvania electorate has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. A national political wave, major scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$16,622結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds a commanding position in Pennsylvania’s 9th congressional district due to its consistent partisan lean, reflected in an R+19 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 38-point margin there in 2024. Incumbent Representative Dan Meuser is seeking another term with broad party support ahead of the May 19 primary, while the Democratic primary features limited challengers and fundraising. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. Traders price in low odds of an upset because the district’s northeast Pennsylvania electorate has favored Republicans by wide margins in recent cycles. A national political wave, major scandal involving the nominee, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial movement from current fundamentals.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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