Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince in Texas’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026. The East Texas seat, which includes Tyler, Longview, and Texarkana, delivered strong Republican margins in the prior cycle, with Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeding 72 percent. Moran advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May runoff. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and limited crossover support. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$21,535 交易量
$21,535 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$21,535 交易量
$21,535 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$4,998 交易量
95%
Democratic Party
$16,536 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince in Texas’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026. The East Texas seat, which includes Tyler, Longview, and Texarkana, delivered strong Republican margins in the prior cycle, with Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeding 72 percent. Moran advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May runoff. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and limited crossover support. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
交易量
$21,535結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince in Texas’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026. The East Texas seat, which includes Tyler, Longview, and Texarkana, delivered strong Republican margins in the prior cycle, with Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeding 72 percent. Moran advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May runoff. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and limited crossover support. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,535結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nathaniel Moran faces Democratic nominee Yolanda Prince in Texas’s 1st congressional district on November 3, 2026. The East Texas seat, which includes Tyler, Longview, and Texarkana, delivered strong Republican margins in the prior cycle, with Donald Trump and Ted Cruz each exceeding 72 percent. Moran advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Prince secured the Democratic nomination after a May runoff. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Republican, reflecting the district’s partisan voting index and limited crossover support. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national midterm wave, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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