The district's longstanding Democratic tilt and incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's established position drive the strong trader consensus favoring her party. Underwood, who first won the seat in 2018 and secured re-election with 55 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition on March 17, while Republican voters selected James Marter as nominee by a wide margin over Gary Vician. The seat's partisan voting index and suburban Chicago demographics create a durable structural edge for Democrats, consistent with historical patterns in similar districts. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local developments capable of overcoming these fundamentals before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
7%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$2,721 交易量
91%
Republican Party
$6,120 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's longstanding Democratic tilt and incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's established position drive the strong trader consensus favoring her party. Underwood, who first won the seat in 2018 and secured re-election with 55 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition on March 17, while Republican voters selected James Marter as nominee by a wide margin over Gary Vician. The seat's partisan voting index and suburban Chicago demographics create a durable structural edge for Democrats, consistent with historical patterns in similar districts. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local developments capable of overcoming these fundamentals before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$8,841結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's longstanding Democratic tilt and incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's established position drive the strong trader consensus favoring her party. Underwood, who first won the seat in 2018 and secured re-election with 55 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition on March 17, while Republican voters selected James Marter as nominee by a wide margin over Gary Vician. The seat's partisan voting index and suburban Chicago demographics create a durable structural edge for Democrats, consistent with historical patterns in similar districts. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local developments capable of overcoming these fundamentals before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$8,841結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's longstanding Democratic tilt and incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's established position drive the strong trader consensus favoring her party. Underwood, who first won the seat in 2018 and secured re-election with 55 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition on March 17, while Republican voters selected James Marter as nominee by a wide margin over Gary Vician. The seat's partisan voting index and suburban Chicago demographics create a durable structural edge for Democrats, consistent with historical patterns in similar districts. A Republican victory would require an unusually strong national midterm environment or significant local developments capable of overcoming these fundamentals before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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