Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 14th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and delivered Underwood a 55.1% victory in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee James Marter emerged from his primary with limited resources and name recognition. The seat's suburban and exurban composition around Chicago, combined with Underwood's fundraising advantage and consistent electoral performance since flipping the district in 2018, underpins the strong implied probability. A major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited general-election competitiveness.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$14,251 交易量
$14,251 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$14,251 交易量
$14,251 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$4,509 交易量
94%
Republican Party
$9,742 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 14th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and delivered Underwood a 55.1% victory in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee James Marter emerged from his primary with limited resources and name recognition. The seat's suburban and exurban composition around Chicago, combined with Underwood's fundraising advantage and consistent electoral performance since flipping the district in 2018, underpins the strong implied probability. A major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited general-election competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$14,251結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 14th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and delivered Underwood a 55.1% victory in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee James Marter emerged from his primary with limited resources and name recognition. The seat's suburban and exurban composition around Chicago, combined with Underwood's fundraising advantage and consistent electoral performance since flipping the district in 2018, underpins the strong implied probability. A major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited general-election competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$14,251結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 14th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+3 and delivered Underwood a 55.1% victory in 2024. She advanced unopposed through the March 2026 Democratic primary, while Republican nominee James Marter emerged from his primary with limited resources and name recognition. The seat's suburban and exurban composition around Chicago, combined with Underwood's fundraising advantage and consistent electoral performance since flipping the district in 2018, underpins the strong implied probability. A major scandal, significant national Republican wave, or unforeseen health event could narrow the gap, though current indicators point to limited general-election competitiveness.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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