Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, prompting traders to assign the Republican nominee an 82 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany’s decision to seek the governorship opened the race, drawing multiple Republican primary candidates—including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump—while three Democrats compete in their August 11 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional elections. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm conditions represent the main variables that could still influence final odds before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$17,886 交易量
$17,886 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
82%
民主黨
16%
$17,886 交易量
$17,886 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$8,874 交易量
82%
民主黨
$9,011 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, prompting traders to assign the Republican nominee an 82 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany’s decision to seek the governorship opened the race, drawing multiple Republican primary candidates—including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump—while three Democrats compete in their August 11 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional elections. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm conditions represent the main variables that could still influence final odds before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$17,886結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, prompting traders to assign the Republican nominee an 82 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany’s decision to seek the governorship opened the race, drawing multiple Republican primary candidates—including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump—while three Democrats compete in their August 11 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional elections. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm conditions represent the main variables that could still influence final odds before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$17,886結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 7th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat with an R+11 Partisan Voter Index, prompting traders to assign the Republican nominee an 82 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Tom Tiffany’s decision to seek the governorship opened the race, drawing multiple Republican primary candidates—including Michael Alfonso, who secured an early endorsement from President Trump—while three Democrats compete in their August 11 primary. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s consistent voting patterns in recent presidential and congressional elections. Upcoming primary results and any shifts in national midterm conditions represent the main variables that could still influence final odds before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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