Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who secured 57 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition and benefits from strong fundraising and established constituent ties in the Green Bay and Appleton area. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented August primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2008. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar seats. A significant national Democratic surge, major scandal, or sharp shift in local turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized to date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$21,206 交易量
$21,206 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
92%
民主黨
9%
$21,206 交易量
$21,206 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$14,017 交易量
92%
民主黨
$7,189 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who secured 57 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition and benefits from strong fundraising and established constituent ties in the Green Bay and Appleton area. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented August primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2008. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar seats. A significant national Democratic surge, major scandal, or sharp shift in local turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$21,206結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 8th Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who secured 57 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition and benefits from strong fundraising and established constituent ties in the Green Bay and Appleton area. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented August primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2008. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar seats. A significant national Democratic surge, major scandal, or sharp shift in local turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$21,206結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETWisconsin’s 8th Congressional District maintains a solid Republican lean, reflected in its R+8 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including Cook, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Republican Tony Wied, who secured 57 percent in 2024, faced no primary opposition and benefits from strong fundraising and established constituent ties in the Green Bay and Appleton area. Democrat Rick Crosson emerged from a fragmented August primary but confronts structural headwinds in a district that has not elected a Democrat since 2008. Trader consensus at 92 percent Republican aligns with these fundamentals and historical midterm patterns in similar seats. A significant national Democratic surge, major scandal, or sharp shift in local turnout could narrow the margin, though no such developments have materialized to date.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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