The solidly Republican character of Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+19, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and reelected with 67 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition while Democrat Lauren Jewett advances unopposed after her May primary was canceled. A recent Supreme Court decision upholding the current congressional map drew praise from Republican candidates and criticism from the Democrat, preserving the district’s suburban and rural composition that has consistently delivered large GOP margins. A national political shift of historic proportions, an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or late legal changes to the map remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$34,248 交易量
$34,248 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
91%
民主黨
11%
$34,248 交易量
$34,248 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$16,035 交易量
91%
民主黨
$18,213 交易量
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+19, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and reelected with 67 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition while Democrat Lauren Jewett advances unopposed after her May primary was canceled. A recent Supreme Court decision upholding the current congressional map drew praise from Republican candidates and criticism from the Democrat, preserving the district’s suburban and rural composition that has consistently delivered large GOP margins. A national political shift of historic proportions, an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or late legal changes to the map remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$34,248結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+19, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and reelected with 67 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition while Democrat Lauren Jewett advances unopposed after her May primary was canceled. A recent Supreme Court decision upholding the current congressional map drew praise from Republican candidates and criticism from the Democrat, preserving the district’s suburban and rural composition that has consistently delivered large GOP margins. A national political shift of historic proportions, an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or late legal changes to the map remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$34,248結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Louisiana’s 1st Congressional District, with a Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index of R+19, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Incumbent Steve Scalise, first elected in 2008 and reelected with 67 percent in 2024, faces only token primary opposition while Democrat Lauren Jewett advances unopposed after her May primary was canceled. A recent Supreme Court decision upholding the current congressional map drew praise from Republican candidates and criticism from the Democrat, preserving the district’s suburban and rural composition that has consistently delivered large GOP margins. A national political shift of historic proportions, an unexpected health event affecting the incumbent, or late legal changes to the map remain the primary realistic paths that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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