Republican incumbent Scott Franklin holds a strong position in Florida's 18th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting the district's consistent GOP performance, including Franklin's 65 percent margin in 2024. Recent July polling shows the incumbent leading likely Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson by roughly 20 points in head-to-head matchups. The new congressional map signed earlier in 2026 further entrenches Republican advantages across Florida districts, limiting Democratic paths to victory. With the August 18 primary now concluded and no major late developments shifting the race, trader consensus aligns with the district's structural and historical patterns favoring the Republican nominee.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$30,189 交易量
$30,189 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
89%
民主黨
12%
$30,189 交易量
$30,189 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$18,805 交易量
89%
民主黨
$11,384 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Scott Franklin holds a strong position in Florida's 18th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting the district's consistent GOP performance, including Franklin's 65 percent margin in 2024. Recent July polling shows the incumbent leading likely Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson by roughly 20 points in head-to-head matchups. The new congressional map signed earlier in 2026 further entrenches Republican advantages across Florida districts, limiting Democratic paths to victory. With the August 18 primary now concluded and no major late developments shifting the race, trader consensus aligns with the district's structural and historical patterns favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$30,189結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Scott Franklin holds a strong position in Florida's 18th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting the district's consistent GOP performance, including Franklin's 65 percent margin in 2024. Recent July polling shows the incumbent leading likely Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson by roughly 20 points in head-to-head matchups. The new congressional map signed earlier in 2026 further entrenches Republican advantages across Florida districts, limiting Democratic paths to victory. With the August 18 primary now concluded and no major late developments shifting the race, trader consensus aligns with the district's structural and historical patterns favoring the Republican nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$30,189結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Scott Franklin holds a strong position in Florida's 18th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election. The seat carries a solid Republican rating from multiple forecasters, reflecting the district's consistent GOP performance, including Franklin's 65 percent margin in 2024. Recent July polling shows the incumbent leading likely Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson by roughly 20 points in head-to-head matchups. The new congressional map signed earlier in 2026 further entrenches Republican advantages across Florida districts, limiting Democratic paths to victory. With the August 18 primary now concluded and no major late developments shifting the race, trader consensus aligns with the district's structural and historical patterns favoring the Republican nominee.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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