Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$13,987 交易量
$13,987 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
83%
民主黨
16%
$13,987 交易量
$13,987 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$7,382 交易量
83%
民主黨
$6,605 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
交易量
$13,987結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$13,987結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott Franklin faces minimal primary opposition in a Florida district with a pronounced Republican tilt following the 2026 redistricting plan enacted in April. The seat's R+14 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent presidential cycles position the GOP nominee as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November general election. Democratic contenders must first resolve their August 18 primary between Curtis Gibson and Tiffanie Luong, limiting early resource allocation and visibility. With no major polling shifts or national political events altering the landscape in recent weeks, traders reflect the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition in assigning an 82.5% implied probability to a Republican victory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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