The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly’s decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., has consolidated support ahead of the November general election against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s southeast Chicago and south suburban voter base. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, though no such developments have materialized since the primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$32,809 交易量
$32,809 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
94%
共和黨
3%
$32,809 交易量
$32,809 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$13,932 交易量
94%
共和黨
$18,877 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly’s decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., has consolidated support ahead of the November general election against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s southeast Chicago and south suburban voter base. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, though no such developments have materialized since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$32,809結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly’s decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., has consolidated support ahead of the November general election against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s southeast Chicago and south suburban voter base. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, though no such developments have materialized since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$32,809結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 2nd congressional district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, underpins the 93.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robin Kelly’s decision to pursue a Senate bid created an open seat, but Donna Miller’s March 2026 primary victory over a crowded field, including Jesse Jackson Jr., has consolidated support ahead of the November general election against Republican Mike Noack. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s southeast Chicago and south suburban voter base. Low-probability shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health event, or national Republican surge altering turnout dynamics, though no such developments have materialized since the primary.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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