Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 and consistent results in prior cycles. Neguse faces no primary opposition and benefits from high name recognition as assistant House minority leader, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison emerged from a low-profile June primary in a district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal, though historical base rates in similar safe seats make such shifts rare before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$40,350 交易量
$40,350 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
4%
$40,350 交易量
$40,350 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$19,132 交易量
95%
共和黨
$21,218 交易量
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 and consistent results in prior cycles. Neguse faces no primary opposition and benefits from high name recognition as assistant House minority leader, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison emerged from a low-profile June primary in a district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal, though historical base rates in similar safe seats make such shifts rare before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$40,350結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 and consistent results in prior cycles. Neguse faces no primary opposition and benefits from high name recognition as assistant House minority leader, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison emerged from a low-profile June primary in a district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal, though historical base rates in similar safe seats make such shifts rare before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,350結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd congressional district due to the area's strong Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+20 and consistent results in prior cycles. Neguse faces no primary opposition and benefits from high name recognition as assistant House minority leader, while Republican nominee Kelley Dennison emerged from a low-profile June primary in a district anchored by Boulder and Fort Collins. Trader consensus at 95% for Democrats aligns with the district's structural advantages and absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals for the GOP challenger. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Republican wave, late scandal involving the incumbent, or health-related withdrawal, though historical base rates in similar safe seats make such shifts rare before November.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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