Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow's unopposed victory in the June 30, 2026, primary and the district's Solid D rating from the Cook Political Report underpin the strong Democratic frontrunner position in Colorado's 6th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index favors Democrats by double digits, and Crow has secured reelection margins exceeding 10 points in prior cycles amid suburban shifts in the Denver metro area. Robust fundraising and the absence of competitive Republican challengers further consolidate trader consensus around an implied probability near 95 percent for a Democratic hold. A Republican upset would likely require a sharp national midterm swing, major late-cycle developments such as candidate health events or scandals, or significant erosion in local voter turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$27,683 交易量
$27,683 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
95%
共和黨
6%
$27,683 交易量
$27,683 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$14,599 交易量
95%
共和黨
$13,084 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow's unopposed victory in the June 30, 2026, primary and the district's Solid D rating from the Cook Political Report underpin the strong Democratic frontrunner position in Colorado's 6th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index favors Democrats by double digits, and Crow has secured reelection margins exceeding 10 points in prior cycles amid suburban shifts in the Denver metro area. Robust fundraising and the absence of competitive Republican challengers further consolidate trader consensus around an implied probability near 95 percent for a Democratic hold. A Republican upset would likely require a sharp national midterm swing, major late-cycle developments such as candidate health events or scandals, or significant erosion in local voter turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
交易量
$27,683結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow's unopposed victory in the June 30, 2026, primary and the district's Solid D rating from the Cook Political Report underpin the strong Democratic frontrunner position in Colorado's 6th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index favors Democrats by double digits, and Crow has secured reelection margins exceeding 10 points in prior cycles amid suburban shifts in the Denver metro area. Robust fundraising and the absence of competitive Republican challengers further consolidate trader consensus around an implied probability near 95 percent for a Democratic hold. A Republican upset would likely require a sharp national midterm swing, major late-cycle developments such as candidate health events or scandals, or significant erosion in local voter turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$27,683結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jason Crow's unopposed victory in the June 30, 2026, primary and the district's Solid D rating from the Cook Political Report underpin the strong Democratic frontrunner position in Colorado's 6th congressional district. The seat's partisan voting index favors Democrats by double digits, and Crow has secured reelection margins exceeding 10 points in prior cycles amid suburban shifts in the Denver metro area. Robust fundraising and the absence of competitive Republican challengers further consolidate trader consensus around an implied probability near 95 percent for a Democratic hold. A Republican upset would likely require a sharp national midterm swing, major late-cycle developments such as candidate health events or scandals, or significant erosion in local voter turnout patterns before the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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