Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ, reflecting its rural northern counties plus St. Joseph and northern Kansas City suburbs. Incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement opened the seat, but the August 4 Republican primary produced nominee Chris Stigall and the Democratic primary produced Josh Smead, leaving the general-election matchup between a Republican in a structurally favorable district and a Democrat with limited path to victory. Traders price Republican victory above 93 percent because the district’s voting patterns and forecaster consensus have not shifted meaningfully since redistricting, though a sharp national Democratic wave or unusually high suburban turnout could still narrow the margin before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$40,982 交易量
$40,982 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
94%
民主黨
6%
$40,982 交易量
$40,982 交易量
2026-11-02
共和黨
$26,328 交易量
94%
民主黨
$14,654 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ, reflecting its rural northern counties plus St. Joseph and northern Kansas City suburbs. Incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement opened the seat, but the August 4 Republican primary produced nominee Chris Stigall and the Democratic primary produced Josh Smead, leaving the general-election matchup between a Republican in a structurally favorable district and a Democrat with limited path to victory. Traders price Republican victory above 93 percent because the district’s voting patterns and forecaster consensus have not shifted meaningfully since redistricting, though a sharp national Democratic wave or unusually high suburban turnout could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$40,982結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ, reflecting its rural northern counties plus St. Joseph and northern Kansas City suburbs. Incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement opened the seat, but the August 4 Republican primary produced nominee Chris Stigall and the Democratic primary produced Josh Smead, leaving the general-election matchup between a Republican in a structurally favorable district and a Democrat with limited path to victory. Traders price Republican victory above 93 percent because the district’s voting patterns and forecaster consensus have not shifted meaningfully since redistricting, though a sharp national Democratic wave or unusually high suburban turnout could still narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$40,982結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETMissouri’s 6th congressional district carries an R+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from Cook, Sabato, Inside Elections, and Decision Desk HQ, reflecting its rural northern counties plus St. Joseph and northern Kansas City suburbs. Incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement opened the seat, but the August 4 Republican primary produced nominee Chris Stigall and the Democratic primary produced Josh Smead, leaving the general-election matchup between a Republican in a structurally favorable district and a Democrat with limited path to victory. Traders price Republican victory above 93 percent because the district’s voting patterns and forecaster consensus have not shifted meaningfully since redistricting, though a sharp national Democratic wave or unusually high suburban turnout could still narrow the margin before November 3.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions