Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, who secured reelection with over 70 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, against a challenger, while no Republican candidate has advanced following prior nominees' withdrawals. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected Republican entry, significant shifts in national political conditions, or primary surprises could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical baselines for comparable districts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$91,245 交易量
$91,245 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
97%
共和黨
3%
$91,245 交易量
$91,245 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$53,680 交易量
97%
共和黨
$37,565 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, who secured reelection with over 70 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, against a challenger, while no Republican candidate has advanced following prior nominees' withdrawals. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected Republican entry, significant shifts in national political conditions, or primary surprises could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical baselines for comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$91,245結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, who secured reelection with over 70 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, against a challenger, while no Republican candidate has advanced following prior nominees' withdrawals. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected Republican entry, significant shifts in national political conditions, or primary surprises could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical baselines for comparable districts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$91,245結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 partisan voter index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by nonpartisan analysts. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan, who secured reelection with over 70 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11, 2026, against a challenger, while no Republican candidate has advanced following prior nominees' withdrawals. This structural advantage, combined with the district's voting patterns in recent cycles, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 3, 2026 general election. Late developments such as an unexpected Republican entry, significant shifts in national political conditions, or primary surprises could theoretically alter the trajectory, though such scenarios remain low-probability given historical baselines for comparable districts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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