Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored by Madison and the University of Wisconsin-Madison, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in recent election results and demographic patterns. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with a wide margin, continuing his tenure since 2013 and building on a 70%+ general election performance in 2024. The absence of competitive Republican opposition further reinforces trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though the district's consistent voting history and urban-suburban composition present significant structural barriers to such outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$99,874 交易量
$99,874 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
97%
共和黨
2%
$99,874 交易量
$99,874 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$60,593 交易量
97%
共和黨
$39,281 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored by Madison and the University of Wisconsin-Madison, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in recent election results and demographic patterns. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with a wide margin, continuing his tenure since 2013 and building on a 70%+ general election performance in 2024. The absence of competitive Republican opposition further reinforces trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though the district's consistent voting history and urban-suburban composition present significant structural barriers to such outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$99,874結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored by Madison and the University of Wisconsin-Madison, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in recent election results and demographic patterns. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with a wide margin, continuing his tenure since 2013 and building on a 70%+ general election performance in 2024. The absence of competitive Republican opposition further reinforces trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though the district's consistent voting history and urban-suburban composition present significant structural barriers to such outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$99,874結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored by Madison and the University of Wisconsin-Madison, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean reflected in recent election results and demographic patterns. Incumbent Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11, 2026 primary with a wide margin, continuing his tenure since 2013 and building on a 70%+ general election performance in 2024. The absence of competitive Republican opposition further reinforces trader consensus around the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, candidate health developments, or an unusually strong national Republican performance, though the district's consistent voting history and urban-suburban composition present significant structural barriers to such outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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