Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin's 1st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and favorable nonpartisan race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Steil advanced unopposed through the August 11 primary, while Democrat Mitchell Berman emerged from a competitive four-way contest to face him. A late August poll showed the race close at the voter level, yet the district's partisan baseline, Steil's incumbency, and historical margins favor the Republican nominee in trader assessments. No major late-breaking developments have altered this positioning since the primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於共和黨
71%
民主黨
31%
共和黨
71%
民主黨
31%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil holds a clear edge in Wisconsin's 1st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, supported by the seat's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles and favorable nonpartisan race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Steil advanced unopposed through the August 11 primary, while Democrat Mitchell Berman emerged from a competitive four-way contest to face him. A late August poll showed the race close at the voter level, yet the district's partisan baseline, Steil's incumbency, and historical margins favor the Republican nominee in trader assessments. No major late-breaking developments have altered this positioning since the primaries.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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