Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District, a southeastern seat covering areas such as Kenosha, Racine, and Janesville that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Steil won reelection in 2024 by double digits, and nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball currently rate the 2026 contest Likely or Solid Republican. Mitchell Berman emerged from the August 11 Democratic primary to face Steil in the November 3 general election. Available polling shows a competitive race with Steil narrowly ahead, consistent with the district’s underlying partisan composition and the typical advantages of House incumbency. Trader pricing reflects these structural and historical factors ahead of the fall campaign.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
70%
民主黨
31%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
共和黨
$5,285 交易量
70%
民主黨
$4,669 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District, a southeastern seat covering areas such as Kenosha, Racine, and Janesville that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Steil won reelection in 2024 by double digits, and nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball currently rate the 2026 contest Likely or Solid Republican. Mitchell Berman emerged from the August 11 Democratic primary to face Steil in the November 3 general election. Available polling shows a competitive race with Steil narrowly ahead, consistent with the district’s underlying partisan composition and the typical advantages of House incumbency. Trader pricing reflects these structural and historical factors ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
交易量
$9,954結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District, a southeastern seat covering areas such as Kenosha, Racine, and Janesville that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Steil won reelection in 2024 by double digits, and nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball currently rate the 2026 contest Likely or Solid Republican. Mitchell Berman emerged from the August 11 Democratic primary to face Steil in the November 3 general election. Available polling shows a competitive race with Steil narrowly ahead, consistent with the district’s underlying partisan composition and the typical advantages of House incumbency. Trader pricing reflects these structural and historical factors ahead of the fall campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,954結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETIncumbent Republican Bryan Steil seeks a fifth term in Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District, a southeastern seat covering areas such as Kenosha, Racine, and Janesville that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Steil won reelection in 2024 by double digits, and nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball currently rate the 2026 contest Likely or Solid Republican. Mitchell Berman emerged from the August 11 Democratic primary to face Steil in the November 3 general election. Available polling shows a competitive race with Steil narrowly ahead, consistent with the district’s underlying partisan composition and the typical advantages of House incumbency. Trader pricing reflects these structural and historical factors ahead of the fall campaign.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions