Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, advancing to the November general election in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster. The district's D+11 partisan voting index, its majority-Black electorate centered around Jackson, and Thompson's three-decade tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Race forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Thompson's 62 percent victory in 2024. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political realignment of unusual scale in this reliably Democratic territory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$36,491 交易量
$36,491 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
92%
共和黨
8%
$36,491 交易量
$36,491 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$21,474 交易量
92%
共和黨
$15,017 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, advancing to the November general election in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster. The district's D+11 partisan voting index, its majority-Black electorate centered around Jackson, and Thompson's three-decade tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Race forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Thompson's 62 percent victory in 2024. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political realignment of unusual scale in this reliably Democratic territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
交易量
$36,491結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, advancing to the November general election in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster. The district's D+11 partisan voting index, its majority-Black electorate centered around Jackson, and Thompson's three-decade tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Race forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Thompson's 62 percent victory in 2024. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political realignment of unusual scale in this reliably Democratic territory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$36,491結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETIncumbent Democrat Bennie Thompson secured his party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with 86 percent of the vote against two challengers, advancing to the November general election in Mississippi's 2nd Congressional District against Republican Ron Eller and independent Bennie Foster. The district's D+11 partisan voting index, its majority-Black electorate centered around Jackson, and Thompson's three-decade tenure contribute to the strong trader consensus favoring a Democratic hold. Race forecasters across outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic, consistent with Thompson's 62 percent victory in 2024. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late scandal, health event, or national political realignment of unusual scale in this reliably Democratic territory.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions