Florida's 20th congressional district maintains a commanding Democratic structural advantage rooted in its voter registration edge, demographic composition, and historical performance in general elections. With the seat open following the incumbent's resignation, traders have priced in a 92.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail on November 3, 2026, reflecting consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts labeling the race Solid Democratic. The August 18 primary will determine the party's standard-bearer, yet the district's partisan baseline leaves little room for a Republican upset under current conditions. A late-breaking scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate or an unforeseen shift in turnout patterns among core voting blocs represent the narrowest realistic pathways that could narrow the margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$15,060 交易量
$15,060 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$15,060 交易量
$15,060 交易量
2026-11-03
Democratic Party
$5,956 交易量
93%
Republican Party
$9,104 交易量
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th congressional district maintains a commanding Democratic structural advantage rooted in its voter registration edge, demographic composition, and historical performance in general elections. With the seat open following the incumbent's resignation, traders have priced in a 92.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail on November 3, 2026, reflecting consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts labeling the race Solid Democratic. The August 18 primary will determine the party's standard-bearer, yet the district's partisan baseline leaves little room for a Republican upset under current conditions. A late-breaking scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate or an unforeseen shift in turnout patterns among core voting blocs represent the narrowest realistic pathways that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
交易量
$15,060結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 20th congressional district maintains a commanding Democratic structural advantage rooted in its voter registration edge, demographic composition, and historical performance in general elections. With the seat open following the incumbent's resignation, traders have priced in a 92.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail on November 3, 2026, reflecting consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts labeling the race Solid Democratic. The August 18 primary will determine the party's standard-bearer, yet the district's partisan baseline leaves little room for a Republican upset under current conditions. A late-breaking scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate or an unforeseen shift in turnout patterns among core voting blocs represent the narrowest realistic pathways that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$15,060結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 20th congressional district maintains a commanding Democratic structural advantage rooted in its voter registration edge, demographic composition, and historical performance in general elections. With the seat open following the incumbent's resignation, traders have priced in a 92.5 percent probability for the Democratic nominee to prevail on November 3, 2026, reflecting consistent ratings from nonpartisan analysts labeling the race Solid Democratic. The August 18 primary will determine the party's standard-bearer, yet the district's partisan baseline leaves little room for a Republican upset under current conditions. A late-breaking scandal involving the eventual Democratic candidate or an unforeseen shift in turnout patterns among core voting blocs represent the narrowest realistic pathways that could narrow the margin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions