The Republican Party's commanding 96.8% market share in the Idaho 1st congressional district race stems from the seat's deep structural advantages, including an R+22 Cook partisan voting index and consistent Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher faces limited primary opposition on May 19 ahead of the November general election, while Democratic contenders Kaylee Peterson and Ken Brungardt lack the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in a district that supported the Republican presidential candidate by 45 points last cycle. Traders price in these fundamentals as decisive, consistent with historical incumbent retention rates in similarly safe seats. An upset would require either an extraordinary national Democratic wave or an unexpected primary disruption, neither of which appears imminent based on current indicators.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$33,743 交易量
$33,743 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
97%
民主黨
3%
$33,743 交易量
$33,743 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$21,177 交易量
97%
民主黨
$12,565 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's commanding 96.8% market share in the Idaho 1st congressional district race stems from the seat's deep structural advantages, including an R+22 Cook partisan voting index and consistent Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher faces limited primary opposition on May 19 ahead of the November general election, while Democratic contenders Kaylee Peterson and Ken Brungardt lack the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in a district that supported the Republican presidential candidate by 45 points last cycle. Traders price in these fundamentals as decisive, consistent with historical incumbent retention rates in similarly safe seats. An upset would require either an extraordinary national Democratic wave or an unexpected primary disruption, neither of which appears imminent based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$33,743結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party's commanding 96.8% market share in the Idaho 1st congressional district race stems from the seat's deep structural advantages, including an R+22 Cook partisan voting index and consistent Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher faces limited primary opposition on May 19 ahead of the November general election, while Democratic contenders Kaylee Peterson and Ken Brungardt lack the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in a district that supported the Republican presidential candidate by 45 points last cycle. Traders price in these fundamentals as decisive, consistent with historical incumbent retention rates in similarly safe seats. An upset would require either an extraordinary national Democratic wave or an unexpected primary disruption, neither of which appears imminent based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,743結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party's commanding 96.8% market share in the Idaho 1st congressional district race stems from the seat's deep structural advantages, including an R+22 Cook partisan voting index and consistent Republican margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Russ Fulcher faces limited primary opposition on May 19 ahead of the November general election, while Democratic contenders Kaylee Peterson and Ken Brungardt lack the fundraising or name recognition to mount a credible challenge in a district that supported the Republican presidential candidate by 45 points last cycle. Traders price in these fundamentals as decisive, consistent with historical incumbent retention rates in similarly safe seats. An upset would require either an extraordinary national Democratic wave or an unexpected primary disruption, neither of which appears imminent based on current indicators.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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