**Republican nominee Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election.** The incumbent advanced comfortably through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Don Coover secured the nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and the 18-point margin Schmidt achieved in 2024. Strong Republican fundraising, the district’s consistent partisan lean, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure keep the implied probability of a Republican victory near 88 percent. No major developments since the primaries have shifted the competitive landscape.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和黨
89%
民主黨
13%
最新
最新
2026-11-02
共和黨
$4,729 交易量
89%
民主黨
$4,611 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election.** The incumbent advanced comfortably through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Don Coover secured the nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and the 18-point margin Schmidt achieved in 2024. Strong Republican fundraising, the district’s consistent partisan lean, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure keep the implied probability of a Republican victory near 88 percent. No major developments since the primaries have shifted the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$9,341結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican nominee Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election.** The incumbent advanced comfortably through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Don Coover secured the nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and the 18-point margin Schmidt achieved in 2024. Strong Republican fundraising, the district’s consistent partisan lean, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure keep the implied probability of a Republican victory near 88 percent. No major developments since the primaries have shifted the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,341結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Derek Schmidt holds a commanding position in Kansas’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election.** The incumbent advanced comfortably through the August 4 Republican primary, while Democrat Don Coover secured the nomination without opposition. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with its R+10 Partisan Voter Index and the 18-point margin Schmidt achieved in 2024. Strong Republican fundraising, the district’s consistent partisan lean, and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure keep the implied probability of a Republican victory near 88 percent. No major developments since the primaries have shifted the competitive landscape.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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