Incumbent Democratic Representative Sharice Davids filed for reelection in Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District on May 11, 2026, facing a primary challenge from Sarah Preu on August 4 while Republicans Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley compete in their primary. The district carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, reflecting its suburban Kansas City base and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 88.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with the district’s structural lean and Davids’s established incumbency advantage. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in the past month, leaving the general election outcome on November 3, 2026, heavily favored toward Democrats absent a significant national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$12,282 交易量
$12,282 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
89%
共和黨
12%
$12,282 交易量
$12,282 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$2,876 交易量
89%
共和黨
$9,406 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sharice Davids filed for reelection in Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District on May 11, 2026, facing a primary challenge from Sarah Preu on August 4 while Republicans Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley compete in their primary. The district carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, reflecting its suburban Kansas City base and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 88.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with the district’s structural lean and Davids’s established incumbency advantage. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in the past month, leaving the general election outcome on November 3, 2026, heavily favored toward Democrats absent a significant national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$12,282結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sharice Davids filed for reelection in Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District on May 11, 2026, facing a primary challenge from Sarah Preu on August 4 while Republicans Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley compete in their primary. The district carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, reflecting its suburban Kansas City base and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 88.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with the district’s structural lean and Davids’s established incumbency advantage. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in the past month, leaving the general election outcome on November 3, 2026, heavily favored toward Democrats absent a significant national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$12,282結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Sharice Davids filed for reelection in Kansas’s 3rd Congressional District on May 11, 2026, facing a primary challenge from Sarah Preu on August 4 while Republicans Chase LaPorte and Blake Stanley compete in their primary. The district carries a D+2 Cook Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters, reflecting its suburban Kansas City base and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 88.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, consistent with the district’s structural lean and Davids’s established incumbency advantage. No major polling shifts or campaign developments have altered this positioning in the past month, leaving the general election outcome on November 3, 2026, heavily favored toward Democrats absent a significant national Republican wave or unexpected primary upset.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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