Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination for Texas's 31st congressional district without significant primary opposition after facing multiple challengers earlier in the cycle. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5 percent. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. With the general election set for November 2026 and limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive shift, the implied probability aligns with the seat's baseline partisan makeup and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$38,295 交易量
$38,295 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
90%
民主黨
9%
$38,295 交易量
$38,295 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$19,341 交易量
90%
民主黨
$18,954 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination for Texas's 31st congressional district without significant primary opposition after facing multiple challengers earlier in the cycle. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5 percent. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. With the general election set for November 2026 and limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive shift, the implied probability aligns with the seat's baseline partisan makeup and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$38,295結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination for Texas's 31st congressional district without significant primary opposition after facing multiple challengers earlier in the cycle. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5 percent. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. With the general election set for November 2026 and limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive shift, the implied probability aligns with the seat's baseline partisan makeup and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$38,295結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter secured his party's nomination for Texas's 31st congressional district without significant primary opposition after facing multiple challengers earlier in the cycle. The district's established Republican lean, reflected in historical voting patterns and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as solidly or likely Republican, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP at 89.5 percent. Democrat Justin Early secured his party's nomination, yet faces structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2003. With the general election set for November 2026 and limited polling or fundraising signals indicating a competitive shift, the implied probability aligns with the seat's baseline partisan makeup and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the balance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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