Texas's 30th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. The open seat, vacated after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a U.S. Senate bid, drew a clear Democratic primary winner in Frederick Haynes and Republican nominee Everett Jackson. The district's D+25 Partisan Voter Index, rooted in its urban Dallas demographics with strong Black and Latino voter concentrations, has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including a 47-point presidential edge in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with projections around an 80%+ Democratic vote share. Low Republican primary turnout and limited general election competitiveness reinforce the positioning, though an unprecedented national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event could theoretically narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$47,064 交易量
$47,064 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
$47,064 交易量
$47,064 交易量
2026-11-02
Democratic Party
$5,578 交易量
96%
Republican Party
$41,487 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. The open seat, vacated after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a U.S. Senate bid, drew a clear Democratic primary winner in Frederick Haynes and Republican nominee Everett Jackson. The district's D+25 Partisan Voter Index, rooted in its urban Dallas demographics with strong Black and Latino voter concentrations, has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including a 47-point presidential edge in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with projections around an 80%+ Democratic vote share. Low Republican primary turnout and limited general election competitiveness reinforce the positioning, though an unprecedented national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event could theoretically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$47,064結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 30th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. The open seat, vacated after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a U.S. Senate bid, drew a clear Democratic primary winner in Frederick Haynes and Republican nominee Everett Jackson. The district's D+25 Partisan Voter Index, rooted in its urban Dallas demographics with strong Black and Latino voter concentrations, has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including a 47-point presidential edge in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with projections around an 80%+ Democratic vote share. Low Republican primary turnout and limited general election competitiveness reinforce the positioning, though an unprecedented national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event could theoretically narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$47,064結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 30th congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 95.5%. The open seat, vacated after incumbent Jasmine Crockett pursued a U.S. Senate bid, drew a clear Democratic primary winner in Frederick Haynes and Republican nominee Everett Jackson. The district's D+25 Partisan Voter Index, rooted in its urban Dallas demographics with strong Black and Latino voter concentrations, has produced consistent double-digit Democratic margins in recent cycles, including a 47-point presidential edge in 2024. Forecasters across outlets rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, with projections around an 80%+ Democratic vote share. Low Republican primary turnout and limited general election competitiveness reinforce the positioning, though an unprecedented national shift or unforeseen candidate-specific event could theoretically narrow the gap.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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