**Redistricting completed in August 2025 transformed Texas’s 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one rated R+8 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, prompting forecasters to shift ratings from Solid/Safe Democratic to Solid Republican or Safe Republican.** The new lines stretch from Dallas suburbs northeast into more conservative East Texas counties, diluting the prior urban Democratic base and creating an open seat after former Rep. Julie Johnson moved to the 33rd district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed once Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff; he holds endorsements aligned with conservative priorities. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the reconfigured district. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major subsequent developments altering the partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district’s post-redistricting Republican advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$29,512 交易量
$29,512 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
77%
民主黨
23%
$29,512 交易量
$29,512 交易量
2026-11-03
共和黨
$27,257 交易量
77%
民主黨
$2,256 交易量
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Redistricting completed in August 2025 transformed Texas’s 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one rated R+8 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, prompting forecasters to shift ratings from Solid/Safe Democratic to Solid Republican or Safe Republican.** The new lines stretch from Dallas suburbs northeast into more conservative East Texas counties, diluting the prior urban Democratic base and creating an open seat after former Rep. Julie Johnson moved to the 33rd district.
Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed once Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff; he holds endorsements aligned with conservative priorities. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the reconfigured district. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major subsequent developments altering the partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district’s post-redistricting Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
交易量
$29,512結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Redistricting completed in August 2025 transformed Texas’s 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one rated R+8 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, prompting forecasters to shift ratings from Solid/Safe Democratic to Solid Republican or Safe Republican.** The new lines stretch from Dallas suburbs northeast into more conservative East Texas counties, diluting the prior urban Democratic base and creating an open seat after former Rep. Julie Johnson moved to the 33rd district.
Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed once Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff; he holds endorsements aligned with conservative priorities. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the reconfigured district. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major subsequent developments altering the partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district’s post-redistricting Republican advantage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$29,512結束日期
2026-11-04市場開放時間
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Redistricting completed in August 2025 transformed Texas’s 32nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning seat into one rated R+8 by the Cook Partisan Voter Index, prompting forecasters to shift ratings from Solid/Safe Democratic to Solid Republican or Safe Republican.** The new lines stretch from Dallas suburbs northeast into more conservative East Texas counties, diluting the prior urban Democratic base and creating an open seat after former Rep. Julie Johnson moved to the 33rd district. Republican nominee Jace Yarbrough secured the nomination after leading the March 2026 primary and advancing unopposed once Ryan Binkley withdrew from the May runoff; he holds endorsements aligned with conservative priorities. Democrat Dan Barrios won his primary but faces structural headwinds in the reconfigured district. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, and no major subsequent developments altering the partisan tilt, trader consensus reflects the district’s post-redistricting Republican advantage.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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