California's 44th congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 or stronger Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent history of 70-plus percent Democratic general election margins. Incumbent Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Genevieve Angel after securing roughly 73 percent of the primary vote. The district's composition, centered on areas including San Pedro and Carson, has produced reliable Democratic advantages in turnout and registration that underpin trader consensus around a near-certain Democratic outcome. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though the structural margin leaves limited room for such factors to overcome the baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$46,509 交易量
$46,509 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
98%
共和黨
2%
$46,509 交易量
$46,509 交易量
2026-11-03
民主黨
$21,619 交易量
98%
共和黨
$24,890 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 44th congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 or stronger Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent history of 70-plus percent Democratic general election margins. Incumbent Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Genevieve Angel after securing roughly 73 percent of the primary vote. The district's composition, centered on areas including San Pedro and Carson, has produced reliable Democratic advantages in turnout and registration that underpin trader consensus around a near-certain Democratic outcome. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though the structural margin leaves limited room for such factors to overcome the baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
交易量
$46,509結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 44th congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 or stronger Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent history of 70-plus percent Democratic general election margins. Incumbent Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Genevieve Angel after securing roughly 73 percent of the primary vote. The district's composition, centered on areas including San Pedro and Carson, has produced reliable Democratic advantages in turnout and registration that underpin trader consensus around a near-certain Democratic outcome. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though the structural margin leaves limited room for such factors to overcome the baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$46,509結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 44th congressional district features a heavily Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+20 or stronger Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent history of 70-plus percent Democratic general election margins. Incumbent Nanette Barragán advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary alongside Republican Genevieve Angel after securing roughly 73 percent of the primary vote. The district's composition, centered on areas including San Pedro and Carson, has produced reliable Democratic advantages in turnout and registration that underpin trader consensus around a near-certain Democratic outcome. A late scandal, significant health event, or unforeseen national political shift could theoretically alter the race, though the structural margin leaves limited room for such factors to overcome the baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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