**The Republican nominee holds a structural edge in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, an open seat previously held by Nancy Mace, due to its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s double-digit margin there in 2024.** Jenny Costa Honeycutt secured the GOP nomination after winning the June 23 runoff, while Democrat Nancy Lacore, a retired Navy rear admiral, advanced on the other side. A July poll showed the race within a few points head-to-head, reflecting the district’s coastal Lowcountry dynamics and the absence of an incumbent. Traders price Republican victory around 70 percent, consistent with the seat’s recent voting patterns and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” ratings, though the open-seat environment and Democratic nominee’s profile keep Democratic chances above 25 percent with roughly two months until the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$54,895 交易量
$54,895 交易量
共和黨
71%
民主黨
30%
$54,895 交易量
$54,895 交易量
共和黨
71%
民主黨
30%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
**The Republican nominee holds a structural edge in South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, an open seat previously held by Nancy Mace, due to its R+6 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Donald Trump’s double-digit margin there in 2024.** Jenny Costa Honeycutt secured the GOP nomination after winning the June 23 runoff, while Democrat Nancy Lacore, a retired Navy rear admiral, advanced on the other side. A July poll showed the race within a few points head-to-head, reflecting the district’s coastal Lowcountry dynamics and the absence of an incumbent. Traders price Republican victory around 70 percent, consistent with the seat’s recent voting patterns and forecasters’ “Likely Republican” ratings, though the open-seat environment and Democratic nominee’s profile keep Democratic chances above 25 percent with roughly two months until the November 3 general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions