Wyoming's at-large congressional district has long shown overwhelming Republican support in federal elections, reflected in the market's 94% Republican consensus and minimal Democratic pricing. The seat opened after incumbent Harriet Hageman pursued a Senate bid, drawing a competitive Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest that includes candidates such as Chuck Gray and Jillian Balow. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts rate the general election as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 40 points. A Democratic nominee could only realistically narrow the outcome through an unusually strong national midterm environment or late-cycle developments that shift turnout among independent voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$42,399 交易量
$42,399 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
2%
$42,399 交易量
$42,399 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$18,591 交易量
94%
Democratic Party
$23,808 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district has long shown overwhelming Republican support in federal elections, reflected in the market's 94% Republican consensus and minimal Democratic pricing. The seat opened after incumbent Harriet Hageman pursued a Senate bid, drawing a competitive Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest that includes candidates such as Chuck Gray and Jillian Balow. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts rate the general election as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 40 points. A Democratic nominee could only realistically narrow the outcome through an unusually strong national midterm environment or late-cycle developments that shift turnout among independent voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$42,399結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district has long shown overwhelming Republican support in federal elections, reflected in the market's 94% Republican consensus and minimal Democratic pricing. The seat opened after incumbent Harriet Hageman pursued a Senate bid, drawing a competitive Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest that includes candidates such as Chuck Gray and Jillian Balow. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts rate the general election as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 40 points. A Democratic nominee could only realistically narrow the outcome through an unusually strong national midterm environment or late-cycle developments that shift turnout among independent voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,399結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large congressional district has long shown overwhelming Republican support in federal elections, reflected in the market's 94% Republican consensus and minimal Democratic pricing. The seat opened after incumbent Harriet Hageman pursued a Senate bid, drawing a competitive Republican primary field ahead of the August 18 contest that includes candidates such as Chuck Gray and Jillian Balow. Multiple nonpartisan forecasts rate the general election as solid or safe Republican, consistent with the state's voting patterns and historical margins exceeding 40 points. A Democratic nominee could only realistically narrow the outcome through an unusually strong national midterm environment or late-cycle developments that shift turnout among independent voters.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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