Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Republican. Incumbent Harriet Hageman is seeking a U.S. Senate seat instead, opening the Republican primary on August 18 to a field that includes Chuck Gray, Bo Biteman, Jillian Balow, and others. Democratic primary contenders face structural barriers in a state where the GOP nominee prevailed by a 47-point margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical voting patterns, low Democratic registration, and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general-election environment. Late developments such as a primary upset producing a controversial nominee or a significant national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make sizable movement improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$42,399 交易量
$42,399 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
2%
$42,399 交易量
$42,399 交易量
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$18,591 交易量
94%
Democratic Party
$23,808 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Republican. Incumbent Harriet Hageman is seeking a U.S. Senate seat instead, opening the Republican primary on August 18 to a field that includes Chuck Gray, Bo Biteman, Jillian Balow, and others. Democratic primary contenders face structural barriers in a state where the GOP nominee prevailed by a 47-point margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical voting patterns, low Democratic registration, and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general-election environment. Late developments such as a primary upset producing a controversial nominee or a significant national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make sizable movement improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$42,399結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Republican. Incumbent Harriet Hageman is seeking a U.S. Senate seat instead, opening the Republican primary on August 18 to a field that includes Chuck Gray, Bo Biteman, Jillian Balow, and others. Democratic primary contenders face structural barriers in a state where the GOP nominee prevailed by a 47-point margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical voting patterns, low Democratic registration, and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general-election environment. Late developments such as a primary upset producing a controversial nominee or a significant national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make sizable movement improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$42,399結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the November 2026 general election, with all major forecasters rating the race Safe or Solid Republican. Incumbent Harriet Hageman is seeking a U.S. Senate seat instead, opening the Republican primary on August 18 to a field that includes Chuck Gray, Bo Biteman, Jillian Balow, and others. Democratic primary contenders face structural barriers in a state where the GOP nominee prevailed by a 47-point margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical voting patterns, low Democratic registration, and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive general-election environment. Late developments such as a primary upset producing a controversial nominee or a significant national shift could narrow the gap, though structural factors make sizable movement improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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