Texas's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that shapes current trader consensus around an 88 percent probability for the GOP nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Jake Ellzey secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with a comfortable margin over his challengers, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the same date. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report continue to rate the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent past results in presidential and statewide contests. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district further support the wide pricing gap, though any late-cycle national political shifts or candidate-specific developments before November could still influence final outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$2,751 交易量
88%
Democratic Party
$4,311 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that shapes current trader consensus around an 88 percent probability for the GOP nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Jake Ellzey secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with a comfortable margin over his challengers, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the same date. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report continue to rate the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent past results in presidential and statewide contests. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district further support the wide pricing gap, though any late-cycle national political shifts or candidate-specific developments before November could still influence final outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
交易量
$7,062結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that shapes current trader consensus around an 88 percent probability for the GOP nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Jake Ellzey secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with a comfortable margin over his challengers, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the same date. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report continue to rate the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent past results in presidential and statewide contests. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district further support the wide pricing gap, though any late-cycle national political shifts or candidate-specific developments before November could still influence final outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$7,062結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 6th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that shapes current trader consensus around an 88 percent probability for the GOP nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Representative Jake Ellzey secured the Republican nomination in the March 3 primary with a comfortable margin over his challengers, while Democrat Danny Minton advanced unopposed on the same date. Forecasters from outlets such as the Cook Political Report continue to rate the seat as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent past results in presidential and statewide contests. Limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the district further support the wide pricing gap, though any late-cycle national political shifts or candidate-specific developments before November could still influence final outcomes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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