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Politics·Primaries

MI-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for MI-01 Republican Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

MI-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jack Bergman 95%

Matthew DenOtter 3.5%

Justin Michal 2.5%

Polymarket
最新

Jack Bergman 95%

Matthew DenOtter 3.5%

Justin Michal 2.5%

Polymarket
最新

Jack Bergman

$2,111 交易量

95%

Matthew DenOtter

$336 交易量

4%

Justin Michal

$140 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jack Bergman holds a dominant position in the Michigan 1st District Republican primary as the longtime incumbent seeking a sixth term in a solidly Republican district covering the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. His substantial fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised and significant cash on hand, contrasts with the more limited resources of challengers Matthew DenOtter and Justin Michal, who entered the race in late 2025 and early 2026. Bergman’s established voter base, prior primary performance near 80%, and endorsements from party leaders contribute to trader consensus favoring him ahead of the August 4 vote. The low probabilities for the named challengers and “other” reflect limited recent polling shifts or campaign momentum that could alter the outcome before filing deadlines and primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$2,588
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jack Bergman holds a dominant position in the Michigan 1st District Republican primary as the longtime incumbent seeking a sixth term in a solidly Republican district covering the Upper Peninsula and northern Lower Peninsula. His substantial fundraising edge, with over $1 million raised and significant cash on hand, contrasts with the more limited resources of challengers Matthew DenOtter and Justin Michal, who entered the race in late 2025 and early 2026. Bergman’s established voter base, prior primary performance near 80%, and endorsements from party leaders contribute to trader consensus favoring him ahead of the August 4 vote. The low probabilities for the named challengers and “other” reflect limited recent polling shifts or campaign momentum that could alter the outcome before filing deadlines and primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$2,588
結束日期
2026-08-04
市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"MI-01 Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jack Bergman" at 95%, followed by "Matthew DenOtter" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 95¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MI-01 Republican Primary Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 8, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MI-01 Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MI-01 Republican Primary Winner" is "Jack Bergman" at 95%, meaning the market assigns a 95% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Matthew DenOtter" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MI-01 Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.