Trump’s established 2026 posting cadence of roughly 18–19 Truth Social posts per day produces a weekly baseline near 126–133, anchoring trader expectations around the 120–159 range. High day-to-day variance, including rapid-fire sessions of dozens of posts during policy announcements or breaking news, supports meaningful probability on the 200+ outcome. Ongoing developments in the Iran conflict, including recent statements on the Strait of Hormuz, potential strikes, and diplomatic maneuvering reported in early August, remain the dominant near-term catalyst that could elevate volume above baseline levels for the August 11–18 window. Lower brackets stay minimal absent an extended quiet period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月11日至8月18日？
唐納德·特朗普#真相社交帖子2026年8月11日至8月18日？
200+ 48%
160-179 21%
180-199 20%
140-159 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
<20
9%
20-39
1%
40-59
9%
60-79
9%
80-99
9%
100-119
35%
120-139
28%
140-159
21%
160-179
21%
180-199
20%
200+
48%
200+ 48%
160-179 21%
180-199 20%
140-159 12%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
<20
$12 交易量
9%
20-39
$47 交易量
1%
40-59
$12 交易量
9%
60-79
$15 交易量
9%
80-99
$15 交易量
9%
100-119
$30 交易量
35%
120-139
$20 交易量
28%
140-159
$20 交易量
21%
160-179
$15 交易量
21%
180-199
$15 交易量
20%
200+
$10 交易量
48%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established 2026 posting cadence of roughly 18–19 Truth Social posts per day produces a weekly baseline near 126–133, anchoring trader expectations around the 120–159 range. High day-to-day variance, including rapid-fire sessions of dozens of posts during policy announcements or breaking news, supports meaningful probability on the 200+ outcome. Ongoing developments in the Iran conflict, including recent statements on the Strait of Hormuz, potential strikes, and diplomatic maneuvering reported in early August, remain the dominant near-term catalyst that could elevate volume above baseline levels for the August 11–18 window. Lower brackets stay minimal absent an extended quiet period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$211結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established 2026 posting cadence of roughly 18–19 Truth Social posts per day produces a weekly baseline near 126–133, anchoring trader expectations around the 120–159 range. High day-to-day variance, including rapid-fire sessions of dozens of posts during policy announcements or breaking news, supports meaningful probability on the 200+ outcome. Ongoing developments in the Iran conflict, including recent statements on the Strait of Hormuz, potential strikes, and diplomatic maneuvering reported in early August, remain the dominant near-term catalyst that could elevate volume above baseline levels for the August 11–18 window. Lower brackets stay minimal absent an extended quiet period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$211結束日期
2026-08-18市場開放時間
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETTrump’s established 2026 posting cadence of roughly 18–19 Truth Social posts per day produces a weekly baseline near 126–133, anchoring trader expectations around the 120–159 range. High day-to-day variance, including rapid-fire sessions of dozens of posts during policy announcements or breaking news, supports meaningful probability on the 200+ outcome. Ongoing developments in the Iran conflict, including recent statements on the Strait of Hormuz, potential strikes, and diplomatic maneuvering reported in early August, remain the dominant near-term catalyst that could elevate volume above baseline levels for the August 11–18 window. Lower brackets stay minimal absent an extended quiet period.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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