President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage fraud allegations—detailed in a White House letter granting her 21 days to respond—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The Supreme Court's 5-4 June ruling upheld "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act, requiring due process and preserving Cook's position pending further litigation, with her term extending to 2038. This procedural hurdle, combined with market emphasis on central bank independence, keeps implied probabilities of near-term removal low despite political pressure. Key upcoming catalysts include her August 26 response deadline and any subsequent court filings, which could influence FOMC dynamics and Treasury yield expectations if independence concerns escalate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-09-30
9 月 30 日
2%
10 月 31 日
3%
11月30日
5%
12月31日
7%
$4,656 交易量
9 月 30 日
$1,246 交易量
2%
10 月 31 日
$1,236 交易量
3%
11月30日
$939 交易量
5%
12月31日
$1,235 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage fraud allegations—detailed in a White House letter granting her 21 days to respond—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The Supreme Court's 5-4 June ruling upheld "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act, requiring due process and preserving Cook's position pending further litigation, with her term extending to 2038. This procedural hurdle, combined with market emphasis on central bank independence, keeps implied probabilities of near-term removal low despite political pressure. Key upcoming catalysts include her August 26 response deadline and any subsequent court filings, which could influence FOMC dynamics and Treasury yield expectations if independence concerns escalate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市場開放時間： Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
交易量
$4,656結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage fraud allegations—detailed in a White House letter granting her 21 days to respond—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The Supreme Court's 5-4 June ruling upheld "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act, requiring due process and preserving Cook's position pending further litigation, with her term extending to 2038. This procedural hurdle, combined with market emphasis on central bank independence, keeps implied probabilities of near-term removal low despite political pressure. Key upcoming catalysts include her August 26 response deadline and any subsequent court filings, which could influence FOMC dynamics and Treasury yield expectations if independence concerns escalate.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$4,656結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's renewed August 2026 effort to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage fraud allegations—detailed in a White House letter granting her 21 days to respond—remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment. The Supreme Court's 5-4 June ruling upheld "for cause" protections under the Federal Reserve Act, requiring due process and preserving Cook's position pending further litigation, with her term extending to 2038. This procedural hurdle, combined with market emphasis on central bank independence, keeps implied probabilities of near-term removal low despite political pressure. Key upcoming catalysts include her August 26 response deadline and any subsequent court filings, which could influence FOMC dynamics and Treasury yield expectations if independence concerns escalate.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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