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icon for 在1月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？

在1月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？

icon for 在1月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？

在1月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？

12月 9

1月 27, 2027

12月 9

1月 27, 2027

2 24%

3 24%

1 22%

0 19%

Polymarket
最新

2 24%

3 24%

1 22%

0 19%

Polymarket
最新

0

$966 交易量

19%

1

$310 交易量

22%

2

$61 交易量

24%

3

$4,106 交易量

24%

4+

$190 交易量

18%

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$5,634
結束日期
2027-01-27
市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.

The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.

The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$5,634
結束日期
2027-01-27
市場開放時間
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET. This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision. The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"在1月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2" at 24%, followed by "3" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"在1月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "在1月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在1月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" is "2" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在1月份的聯儲局會議上有多少人持不同意見？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.